AGATHANo gut feelings

RedBlacks vs Tiger-Cats Prediction

Saturday, Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, Week 21

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Ottawa RedBlacksOttawaRedBlacks1-16

FINAL

2235

AGATHA'S PICKHamilton Tiger-CatsHamiltonTiger-Cats5-12
75%WIN CHANCETiger-Cats to WinWON#1697 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 75%

Agatha's pick: Tiger-Cats to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Tiger-Cats 35, RedBlacks 22

SEALED ODDS
-227Unibet
CLOSING ODDS
-286Unibet, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.44uat the sealed price
GRADED
6:01 PM ETreceipt #1697
OTT

Tale of the tape

HAM

This season

Points per gameWHYOTT 24.4HAM 24.0
Points against per gamefewer is betterOTT 37.5HAM 29.5

RedBlacks vs Tiger-Cats recent form

WHY

OTT 1-4 RedBlacks: last 5 games

  1. W40-39TOR Oct 16 Toronto Argonauts, 40-39
  2. L20-41BC Oct 9 BC Lions, 20-41
  3. L16-34HAM Oct 2 Hamilton Tiger-Cats, 16-34
  4. L31-45CGY Sep 26 Calgary Stampeders, 31-45
  5. L38-40CGY Sep 19 Calgary Stampeders, 38-40

HAM 1-4 Tiger-Cats: last 5 games

  1. L12-27EDM Oct 9 Edmonton Elks, 12-27
  2. W34-16OTT Oct 2 Ottawa RedBlacks, 34-16
  3. L35-37EDM Sep 26 Edmonton Elks, 35-37
  4. L25-37MTL Sep 18 Montreal Alouettes, 25-37
  5. L22-37TOR Sep 7 Toronto Argonauts, 22-37
Points scored, last 5OTT 145HAM 128
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterOTT 199HAM 154

RedBlacks vs Tiger-Cats head-to-head

WHY

Since Jun 30, 2024: Tiger-Cats 5, RedBlacks 2

  1. Oct 2, 2026Tiger-Cats 34-16
  2. Oct 24, 2025Tiger-Cats 35-15
  3. Jul 20, 2025Tiger-Cats 30-15
  4. Jul 12, 2025Tiger-Cats 23-20
  5. Oct 25, 2024RedBlacks 37-31
  6. Sep 14, 2024Tiger-Cats 37-21
  7. Jun 30, 2024RedBlacks 24-22

RedBlacks vs Tiger-Cats line movement

MONEYLINE Tiger-Cats to win at Unibet

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (HAM)

-5.5

Total

58.5

Moneyline

OTT
+215
HAM
-290

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (5 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (HAM) at FanDuel: opened -184, now -290
  • Spread (HAM) at FanDuel: opened -3.5, now -5.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 58.5, now 58.5

Agatha's pick for RedBlacks vs Tiger-Cats

The Tiger-Cats. Agatha gave Hamilton a 75% chance to win. It was one of Agatha's Best CFL Bets for Oct 24.

Why Agatha picked the Tiger-Cats

The head-to-head decides it: the Tiger-Cats have won five of the six meetings since Sep 14, 2024, including the latest, 34-16 on Oct 2, 2026. They also allow fewer points per game than the RedBlacks, 29.5 to 37.5, and Tre Ford starts in place of Harrison Frost, who is on the one-game injured list. The game is at Tim Hortons Field. Agatha's prediction is a 34-25 Tiger-Cats win, about a 3-in-4 chance. The risk is that the RedBlacks beat the Toronto Argonauts 40-39 on Oct 16 and score 24.4 points per game this season.

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 15, 6:00 PM ETMontreal Alouettes vs Edmonton ElksAgatha's call: Montreal Alouettes to win, 58%