How Agatha Grades Every Pick

The short version

• Every pick is graded win, loss, push or void, at the line and price it froze with, one unit each, edge and lean alike.
• Wins, losses and pushes count on the record. A push returns the stake: it nets zero, still counts as one unit staked because the bet was made, and is left out of the hit rate.
• A void is no action. It counts nowhere: not in the win and loss record, the units, the ROI, the hit rate or closing line value.
• A game has to be played on its board day. If it is postponed, canceled or moved to another board day, the pick is void; a game suspended and later resumed keeps its pick.
• Grades come from the official final score and official stats, through one grader. A grade is never changed quietly: if the official final is corrected after a pick is graded, the same grader grades it again and its receipt shows the correction.

When a card becomes a pick

• A card on the board is dynamic until 15 minutes before its start: its best price and book can still move with the market, and it can still be delisted if it drops below the board's bar.
• 15 minutes before the start it freezes. Its side, line, price and book are fixed, it takes the next ticket number, and it is sealed so it can never be changed afterwards.
• Nothing new is listed with less than 15 minutes to go, so no pick can be added once a game is about to start.
• A card pulled before its freeze was never a pick: it takes no number, is never sealed, and is never graded or counted.
• The frozen pick is what gets graded, at its frozen line and price. Every pick is one unit.

The board day and the day rule

Agatha's rule for a moved game is stricter than most sportsbooks, which usually keep a postponed bet alive for a set window after the scheduled start. Here a game has to be played on its board day, or the pick is void.

• A board day runs from 3:00 AM to 3:00 AM Eastern. A game that starts before 3:30 AM Eastern belongs to the previous board day, so a late card stays with the slate it was part of.
• A pick is filed on the board day of its frozen start time, and it never changes day after that.
• If the start moves to another board day before the game begins, the pick is void, however small the move: a game pushed from 11:50 PM to 3:40 AM has left its day. A move inside the same board day, like a later start the same evening, changes nothing. Tennis keeps its own rule below.On the card: Void: not played on its day
• A game that starts, is suspended and resumes later keeps its pick until it finishes, even when play resumes on another day.
• UFC bout times are estimates that drift with the card, so a bout moved across midnight with its card is not voided by that move alone. A postponed or canceled card still voids its picks.

Postponed, canceled and games that never start

• Postponed: void, the moment the postponement is posted, in every sport.On the card: Void: game postponed
• Canceled: void.On the card: Void: game canceled
• Still not started 8 hours (36 hours for esports) after its scheduled start, while other games in that league show the feeds are working: void. For MLB, MLB's own live feed makes that call. UFC bouts are never voided this way.On the card: Void: game did not start as scheduled
• A delay on its own voids nothing. A game that starts later on the same board day is graded like any other.
• A pick sealed after its game has begun is void.
• After a void for a postponed, moved or unstarted game, the game can be listed again on the day it is actually played, as a new pick with a new ticket number. The void stays on the record either way.
• A void is final, with one exception: in October 2026 two tennis rules were corrected (retirements, and when a match counts as moved to another day), and the picks they had voided were graded again under the corrected rules, wins and losses alike. Each of those receipts shows the change.

Moneylines

• A moneyline pick is graded on the official final score: its side wins or it loses.
• A moneyline counts overtime and extra innings, and an NHL shootout decides the game.
• A two-way moneyline whose game really ends level, an NFL or CFL tie or a called MLB game, is a push, stake back, once that final has stood for 30 minutes.
• In a league whose games cannot end level, a level score is not a final: the pick waits for the deciding score.
• An official shortened MLB game, called after it became official, still settles the moneyline on its final score. Only props need a full game.
• A pitching change never voids a moneyline: the pick is on the team, not the starter.

Soccer three-way moneylines

• Soccer moneylines are three-way: home win, draw or away win. This is the rule for MLS and every other soccer league on the site.
• A pick on a team wins only if that team wins. A draw is a loss for a team pick, never a push.
• A knockout match that goes to extra time or penalties is graded on its score after 90 minutes. If it was level then, a team pick loses, even when its team goes through.

Spreads

• A spread pick is graded on its side's final margin plus its frozen line: above zero wins, below zero loses, exactly zero pushes.
• For example, at -7.5 the side has to win by 8 or more. At +3 it wins by losing by 2 or less, or by winning, and a 3 point loss is a push.
• The margin counts overtime and extra innings, and an NHL shootout counts as one goal for the team that wins it.
• A final without a score waits for the score; it is never guessed.

Tennis

• A match pick is on a player to win the match, graded from the official result.
• A retirement or a default after the first set is finished: graded on the official result. A pick on the player who goes through wins; a pick on the player who retired or was defaulted loses.
• A retirement or a default before the first set is finished: void.On the card: Void: retirement in the first set
• A walkover, where the match is never played: void.On the card: Void: walkover - match never played
• The named player is not in the final match, after a withdrawal or a late change: void.On the card: Void: player not in final match
• A tennis pick is void only if its match moves 12 hours or more, or to a later date, before it starts. A match that waits on its court, or stops for rain and resumes, keeps its pick. If the opponent is replaced after the pick is sealed, the pick is void, as at a sportsbook.
• A tennis match that follows another on its court is sealed 15 minutes before that court's first match of the day, but never more than an hour before its own start.

UFC

• A fight pick is on a fighter, not a corner. If the named fighter is replaced, the pick is void.On the card: Void: fighter replaced
• A draw is a push, stake back.
• A no contest is void.On the card: Void: no contest
• A postponed or canceled card voids its picks. A bout time that drifts with its card does not.

Esports

• A forfeit, where the series is never played out: void, even though the result names a winner.On the card: Void: forfeit - match not played
• A series that ends level, one map each in a best of two: void, never a push.On the card: Void: series drawn
• An esports match still not started 36 hours after its scheduled start, while the esports feeds are working: void. Esports results can reach the feeds a day late, so a match waits that long before it is called off.On the card: Void: game did not start as scheduled
• An esports match that follows another on its tournament's stream is sealed 15 minutes before that stream's first match, but never more than 6 hours before its own start, and never before 3:00 AM Eastern on its board day.
• An esports pick is graded once its match's final has stood 15 minutes. If the esports feed takes a final back, the pick waits for the real one.

Golf

Agatha makes one golf pick a PGA Tour tournament: a player to finish in the top 20, or in the top 10 when the field has fewer than 80 players. It is sealed 15 minutes before the tournament's first tee time and graded off the official final leaderboard.

• Golf prices update a few times a day, not every few minutes. A golf pick is sealed at the best price of three or more sportsbooks in the latest golf prices Agatha has, as long as those prices are no more than 12 hours old. If they are older than that, the pick is not sealed and never counts in the record.
• He finishes inside the line with every player tied with him inside it too: a win, paid in full at the sealed price.
• A tie across the line is a dead heat, settled the way most sportsbooks settle it: the stake is split by the places left over the players tied. Tied for 18th with four players for the last three places in the top 20, the pick is paid 3/4 of its stake at the sealed price, and its card says dead heat, paid 3/4. It counts as a win when that share returns more than the stake, a loss when it returns less, and a push when it returns the stake exactly.
• He finishes outside the line, misses the cut, withdraws after his first tee shot, or is disqualified: a loss.
• He never tees off, because he did not start or withdrew before his first shot: void.On the card: Void: player never teed off
• The tournament ends with fewer than 36 holes completed: void.On the card: Void: fewer than 36 holes completed
• The tournament is canceled: void.On the card: Void: tournament canceled
• The tournament is postponed: the pick is held until the tournament finishes, then graded off its official final, or void if it is canceled.
• A round suspended for weather or darkness and finished the next day changes nothing: the pick stands until the official final.

MLB strikeout props

• Graded on the named pitcher's official strikeouts once the game is final: above the line the Over wins, below it the Under wins, exactly on it is a push.
• The named pitcher does not start the game, because he was scratched or pitched in relief: void.On the card: Void: pitcher did not start
• A full game is 9 innings, or 8.5 when the home side leads after the top of the ninth. Extra innings count as a full game.
• A game called before a full game voids the prop, unless the Over had already cleared the line when play stopped. Then the Over wins and the Under loses, because no later pitch could change it. A count at or below the line is void. This follows the DraftKings baseball rule for full-game player props.On the card: Void: game shortened

WNBA player props

• WNBA props on assists and made threes are graded on the player's official stat line once the final box score lands: above the line the Over wins, below it the Under wins, exactly on it is a push.
• The final box score lists the player as did not play: void.On the card: Void: player did not play
• The game's own injury report rules the player out (out, inactive or did not play, never questionable or doubtful) and the player is missing from the final box score: void.On the card: Void: player ruled out, did not play
• A player missing from the box score with no word either way is not a void. The pick waits for clear evidence.

NFL receptions props

• Graded on the player's receptions in the final box score. A player who takes part stands even at zero catches: the Under wins and the Over loses. Landing exactly on a whole-number line is a push.
• Void only when the player did not play: inactive, or listed as not playing on the game roster.On the card: Void: player did not play
• Missing from a stats table does not count as not playing. Without the roster's word, the pick waits.
• This matches the house rule of the major US sportsbooks: a player prop stands when the player takes part.

CFL receiving yards props

• Graded on the player's official receiving yards from the league's own stats, once the league marks the game finished.
• A player who took part is graded even at zero yards. Landing exactly on the line is a push.
• No official line for the player 8 hours after kickoff: void, did not play.On the card: Void: player did not play
• A line of all zeros with no sign the player took part waits for a person to settle it from the box score; it is never voided or graded by machine.

Parlays

Agatha's record is single picks, one unit each; a parlay never enters it. Her parlay grading follows the book standard, and the parlay calculator uses the same rule.

• A leg that pushes or is void drops out, and the payout is worked out again from the legs left.
• Any losing leg loses the parlay.
• Every remaining leg won: the parlay wins at the recomputed payout. With one leg left, it settles as that single bet.
• Every leg pushed or void: the parlay is a push and the stake comes back.

How and when grades land

• Every pick, edge or lean, goes through one grader, and it grades as soon as the game is final. Esports picks wait until the final has stood 15 minutes.
• Props wait for the official stat line, which can land hours after the game ends.
• When the data are unclear, such as a missing score, a team that does not match the frozen pick, or two players sharing a name, the pick waits for clear evidence or for a person to settle it. Nothing is guessed.
• A win, loss, push or void, once stamped, stays on the track record, and every numbered pick keeps its sealed receipt so the frozen pick behind any grade can be checked. If the official final score is corrected after a grade, the same grader grades the pick again and its receipt shows when and why. The sealed pick itself never changes.

The numbers so far

These counts come straight from Agatha's graded record and refresh every hour. Every pick behind them is on the track record, each numbered pick has a sealed receipt, and how the picks are made is on the methodology page.