AGATHANo gut feelings

Best Bets Today

Friday - October 30, 2026
How picks make the board
  • Every gameAgatha sees every game in every league she covers. Only reads strong enough to bet make it here.
  • LeanAgatha's call on a game no validated model covers yet. Staked 1u.
  • EdgeA call from a model that had to hold up on seasons it never saw before it could publish (WNBA today). Also staked 1u: every pick on the board carries one unit.
  • PredAgatha's call on a game that does not clear the bar for the board. It sits under Predictions on the sport's page. Each call with a line is sealed and graded like every pick, also staked 1u.
  • RulesRegular season and playoffs only. Never listed inside 15 minutes of start. Never at a price she would not take.
  • SealedEvery card seals on chain 15 minutes before its start (earlier for a tennis or esports match that follows another on its court or stream) and takes its number. After that only the score changes.
  • VoidsA game not played on its day voids and is listed again when it is played. A game suspended and resumed carries the pick until it finishes. A player who does not play voids. A pitcher change never voids a moneyline.
  • OrderLive first, then upcoming by start time, finished last. Every pick graded in public.
  • The barA pick makes the board only when Agatha's read is 55% or better (45% or better for a call from a validated model), no higher than 95% (a near-certainty at a tiny price is not a bet), and the price is longer than -250 (1.40 decimal). A card that drifts below the bar before it seals is delisted.
Board historyFriday, October 30 - 26 eventsrunning 1-1 -0.52u
2:05 AMATP Holger Rune to win listed - LEAN 1u, 57%, -142 FanDuel
2:05 AMWTA Anna Blinkova to win listed - LEAN 1u, 63%, -208 DraftKings
2:05 AMWTA Solana Sierra to win listed - LEAN 1u, 62%, -122 Cloudbet
2:05 AMWTA Jazmin Ortenzi to win listed - LEAN 1u DOG, 58%, +130 Stake
2:05 AMATP Alex de Minaur to win listed - LEAN 1u, 69%, -210 BetRivers
2:05 AMLA-LIGA Villarreal to win listed - LEAN 1u, 68%, -226 1xBet
2:05 AMWTA Nadia Podoroska to win listed - LEAN 1u, 62%, -210 FanDuel
2:05 AMNHL Vegas Golden Knights to win listed - LEAN 1u, 56%, -109 Pinnacle
2:05 AMNBA Charlotte Hornets to win listed - LEAN 1u, 73%, -104 Winamax
2:05 AMNHL Florida Panthers to win listed - LEAN 1u, 63%, -218 BetOnline
2:05 AMNBA Toronto Raptors to win listed - LEAN 1u, 74%, -200 Sky Bet
2:05 AMNBA Houston Rockets to win listed - LEAN 1u, 61%, -213 Unibet
2:05 AMNBA Los Angeles Lakers to win listed - LEAN 1u, 62%, -140 Caesars
2:05 AMNBA Minnesota Timberwolves to win listed - LEAN 1u, 62%, -238 Unibet
4:37 AMNBA Minnesota Timberwolves to win removed - drifted under the board's bar
5:50 AMWTA Alina Charaeva to win listed - LEAN 1u, 63%, -225 Betway
6:35 AMWTA Alina Charaeva to win removed - drifted under the board's bar
6:45 AM#2171ATP Holger Rune to win sealed 135 minutes before start - 57% and -142 FanDuel frozen
8:15 AM#2177ATP Alex de Minaur to win sealed 405 minutes before start - 69% and -210 BetRivers frozen
8:44 AMWTA Alevtina Ibragimova to win listed - LEAN 1u, 67%, -135 DraftKings
8:45 AM#2181WTA Anna Blinkova to win sealed 75 minutes before start - 63% and -208 DraftKings frozen
9:51 AM#2171ATP Holger Rune to win DELAYED - Suspended
10:45 AM#2186WTA Solana Sierra to win sealed 15 minutes before start - 62% and -122 Cloudbet frozen
10:45 AM#2187WTA Jazmin Ortenzi to win sealed 195 minutes before start - 58% and +130 Stake frozen
11:19 AM#2171ATP Holger Rune to win FINAL - Valentin Vacherot d. Holger Rune 6-3 3-6 6-3 - LOST -1.00u
11:51 AM#2181WTA Anna Blinkova to win FINAL - Anna Blinkova d. Martyna Kubka 6-3 6-2 - WON +0.48u
Times are Eastern and mark when the board changed, not the game clock.
  1. Solana Sierra at Julia Riera - 11:00 AM ET
    S. Sierra 6-1 1-0 J. Riera
    62%
    LEAN1U
    SEALED ODDS-122Cloudbet
    Progress
    OT58%
    Outcome
    our read 62%87%
  2. Jazmin Ortenzi at Alice Tubello - 2:00 PM ET
    58%
    LEANDOG1U
  3. Alex de Minaur at Matteo Berrettini - 3:00 PM ET
    69%
    LEAN1U
  4. La Liga
    Espanyol at Villarreal - 4:00 PM ET
    Agatha predicts ESP 1, VIL 4
    68%
    LEAN1U
  5. TENNIS WTA
    Carole Monnet at Nadia Podoroska - 5:30 PM ET
    62%
    LEAN1U
  6. nhl
    New Jersey Devils at Vegas Golden Knights - 6:00 PM ET
    Agatha predicts NJD 2, VGK 4
    56%
    LEAN1U
  7. nba
    Charlotte Hornets at Washington Wizards - 7:00 PM ET
    Agatha predicts CHA 116, WSH 110
    73%
    LEAN1U
  8. nhl
    Winnipeg Jets at Florida Panthers - 7:00 PM ET
    Agatha predicts WPG 1, FLA 4
    63%
    LEAN1U
  9. nba
    Orlando Magic at Toronto Raptors - 7:30 PM ET
    Agatha predicts ORL 108, TOR 115
    74%
    LEAN1U
  10. nba
    Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks - 8:00 PM ET
    Agatha predicts HOU 116, DAL 113
    61%
    LEAN1U
  11. nba
    Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors - 10:00 PM ET
    Agatha predicts LAL 117, GS 114
    62%
    LEAN1U
  12. TENNIS WTA
    Alevtina Ibragimova at Mika Stojsavljevic - 10:00 PM ET
    67%
    LEAN1U
  13. Valentin Vacherot at Holger Rune - 9:00 AM ET
    Final: Valentin Vacherot d. Holger Rune 6-3 3-6 6-3
    57%
    LOSTLEAN1U
    LOST
    SEALED ODDS-142FanDuel
  14. Martyna Kubka at Anna Blinkova - 10:00 AM ET
    Final: Anna Blinkova d. Martyna Kubka 6-3 6-2
    63%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-208DraftKings

68 Games Today

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