AGATHANo gut feelings

de Minaur vs Berrettini Prediction

Friday, Oct 30, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, Quarterfinal

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

de Minaur to Win

69%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

de Minaurde Minaur
2-0
BerrettiniBerrettini

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS8:15 AM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-217DraftKingsBET

Where to bet it

de Minaur to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - best 6 of 13 books

  1. DraftKings-217-217
  2. 1xBet-222-222
  3. William Hill-225-225
  4. Fanatics-225-225
  5. Betway-225-225
  6. 888sport-225-225

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Alex de Minaur
-225
Matteo Berrettini
+180

Who will win de Minaur vs Berrettini?

Alex de Minaur. Agatha gives de Minaur a 69% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks de Minaur

Alex de Minaur has won two matches in a row, both at the Erste Bank Open. He beat Learner Tien 6-4, 6-2 in Round 2 of the Erste Bank Open on Oct 28. Over their last ten matches he went 8-2 and Berrettini went 5-5. Agatha gives de Minaur about a 7-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Berrettini has won two matches in a row, both at the Erste Bank Open.

de Minaur vs Berrettini recent form

de Minaur: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Oct 28Learner TienW6-4, 6-2
  2. Oct 26Tomas MachacW1-6, 6-4, 6-3
  3. Oct 15Alexander ZverevL4-6, 4-6
  4. Oct 13Karen KhachanovW6-3, 6-4
  5. Oct 11Rei SakamotoW7-6(6), 6-4

Berrettini: last 5 matches

Last 5: 3-2

  1. Oct 29Flavio CobolliW5-2 ret.
  2. Oct 26Tomas Martin EtcheverryW6-3, 6-4
  3. Oct 20Kyrian JacquetL6-7(4), 5-7
  4. Oct 9Brandon NakashimaL6-7(4), 5-7
  5. Oct 7Aleksandar KovacevicW6-7(3), 6-1, 6-4

de Minaur vs Berrettini head-to-head

Since Jun 19, 2021: Berrettini 3, de Minaur 1

  1. Oct 24, 2025de Minaur 6-1, 7-6(4)Erste Bank Open, Quarterfinal
  2. Mar 25, 2025Berrettini 6-3, 7-6(7)Miami Open, Round 4
  3. Jul 7, 2023Berrettini 6-3, 6-4, 6-4Wimbledon, Round 2
  4. Jun 19, 2021Berrettini 6-4, 6-4cinch Championships, Semifinal

de Minaur vs Berrettini player stats

  • Alex de Minaur

    ATP ranking
    No. 103,280 pts
    2026 record
    39-191 title
    Titles
    1122 finals