AGATHANo gut feelings

de Minaur vs Machac Prediction

Monday, Oct 26, 2026, 10:00 AM ET, Round 1

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

de Minaur to Win

69%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

de Minaurde Minaur
2-0
MachacMachac

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS8:15 AM ET
BEST ODDSBESTNo price yetBET

Who will win de Minaur vs Machac?

Alex de Minaur. Agatha gives de Minaur a 69% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks de Minaur

Alex de Minaur won their last meeting 3-6, 6-0, 6-3 in Round 2 of the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters on the main tour on Apr 9, 2025. He is ranked No. 8 in the ATP rankings of 2026-10-15, and he is 7-3 over the last 10 matches. Tomas Machac lost to Karen Khachanov 6-2, 4-6, 7-6 in Round 2 of the Almaty Open on Oct 22. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives de Minaur about a 7-in-10 chance to win. The risk is that de Minaur retired against Novak Djokovic in the final of the China Open on Oct 6.

de Minaur vs Machac recent form

de Minaur: last 5 matches

Last 4: 2-2

  1. Oct 15Alexander ZverevL4-6, 4-6
  2. Oct 13Karen KhachanovW6-3, 6-4
  3. Oct 11Rei SakamotoW7-6(6), 6-4
  4. Oct 9Alex MolcanWW/O
  5. Oct 6Novak DjokovicL6-7(3), 1-0 ret.

Machac: last 5 matches

Last 4: 2-2

  1. Oct 25Fabian MarozsanWW/O
  2. Oct 24Corentin MoutetW6-4, 6-4
  3. Oct 22Karen KhachanovL2-6, 6-4, 6-7(7)
  4. Oct 21Zangar NurlanulyW6-2, 6-0
  5. Oct 9Alexander BublikL4-6, 6-7(4)

de Minaur vs Machac head-to-head

Since Apr 9, 2025: de Minaur 1, Machac 0

  1. Apr 9, 2025de Minaur 3-6, 6-0, 6-3Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters, Round 2

de Minaur vs Machac player stats

  • Alex de Minaur

    ATP ranking
    No. 83,430 pts
    2026 record
    37-191 title
    Titles
    1122 finals
  • Tomas Machac

    ATP ranking
    No. 72779 pts
    2026 record
    16-161 title
    Titles
    23 finals