AGATHANo gut feelings

Musetti vs Cobolli Prediction

Saturday, Oct 24, 2026, 10:00 AM ET, Semifinal

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Musetti to Win

60%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

MusettiMusetti
2-0
CobolliCobolli

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS5:15 AM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-109DraftKingsBET

Where to bet it

Musetti to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - 1 book

  1. DraftKings-109-109

Who will win Musetti vs Cobolli?

Lorenzo Musetti. Agatha gives Musetti a 60% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti has won three matches in a row, all at the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes. Musetti beat Luca van Assche 7-6, 6-7, 6-4 in the quarterfinal of the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes on Oct 23. In their last meeting on the main tour, on Aug 30, 2025, Musetti won in Round 3 of the US Open (Flavio Cobolli did not finish the match). Musetti is 17-8 on hard courts this year. Agatha gives Musetti close to a 6-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Cobolli is ranked No. 6 and beat Brandon Nakashima 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 in the quarterfinal of the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes.

Musetti vs Cobolli recent form

Musetti: last 5 matches

Last 5: 3-2

  1. Oct 23Luca Van AsscheW7-6(5), 6-7(7), 6-4
  2. Oct 21Moise KouameW6-4, 6-4
  3. Oct 19Matteo ArnaldiW6-1, 6-4
  4. Oct 9Zhou YiL6-7(7), 6-3, 6-7(1)
  5. Sep 3Dane SweenyL6-3, 1-6, 2-6, 2-6

Cobolli: last 5 matches

Last 5: 2-3

  1. Oct 23Brandon NakashimaW4-6, 6-4, 6-4
  2. Oct 22Stan WawrinkaW6-2, 6-4
  3. Oct 9Adrian MannarinoL1-6, 6-4, 3-6
  4. Oct 1Roman SafiullinL3-6, 2-6
  5. Sep 5Alexander BlockxL7-6(4), 3-6, 0-6, 3-6

Musetti vs Cobolli head-to-head

Since Aug 30, 2025: Musetti 1, Cobolli 0

  1. Aug 30, 2025Musetti 6-3, 6-2, 2-0 ret.US Open, Round 3

Musetti vs Cobolli player stats

  • Flavio Cobolli

    ATP ranking
    No. 63,640 pts
    2026 record
    34-201 title
    Titles
    36 finals

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Lorenzo Musetti
-122
Flavio Cobolli
-109