AGATHANo gut feelings

Best NASCAR Bets

Friday - October 30, 2026

How picks make the board

Every gameAgatha sees every game in every league she covers. Only reads strong enough to bet make it here.
LeanAgatha's call on a game no validated model covers yet. Staked 1u.
EdgeA call from a model that had to hold up on seasons it never saw before it could publish (WNBA today). Also staked 1u: every pick on the board carries one unit.
PredAgatha's call on a game that does not clear the bar for the board. It sits under Predictions on the sport's page. Each call with a line is sealed and graded like every pick, also staked 1u.
RulesRegular season and playoffs only. Never listed inside 15 minutes of start. Never at a price she would not take.
SealedEvery card seals on chain 15 minutes before its start (earlier for a tennis or esports match that follows another on its court or stream) and takes its number. After that only the score changes.
VoidsA game not played on its day voids and is listed again when it is played. A game suspended and resumed carries the pick until it finishes. A player who does not play voids. A pitcher change never voids a moneyline.
OrderLive first, then upcoming by start time, finished last. Every pick graded in public.
The barA pick makes the board only when Agatha's read is 55% or better (and no higher than 95%: a near-certainty at a tiny price is not a bet) and the price is longer than -250 (1.40 decimal). A card that drifts below the bar before it seals is delisted.