Best NBA Bets
Wednesday - November 11, 2026
November 2026
Top NBA picks history by date.
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How picks make the board
- Every gameAgatha sees every game in every league she covers. Only reads strong enough to bet make it here.
- LeanAgatha's call on a game no validated model covers yet. Staked 1u.
- EdgeA call from a model that had to hold up on seasons it never saw before it could publish (WNBA today). Also staked 1u: every pick on the board carries one unit.
- PredAgatha's call on a game that does not clear the bar for the board. It sits under Predictions on the sport's page. Each call with a line is sealed and graded like every pick, also staked 1u.
- RulesRegular season and playoffs only. Never listed inside 15 minutes of start. Never at a price she would not take.
- SealedEvery card seals on chain 15 minutes before its start (earlier for a tennis or esports match that follows another on its court or stream) and takes its number. After that only the score changes.
- VoidsA game not played on its day voids and is listed again when it is played. A game suspended and resumed carries the pick until it finishes. A player who does not play voids. A pitcher change never voids a moneyline.
- OrderLive first, then upcoming by start time, finished last. Every pick graded in public.
Board historyWednesday, November 11 - 16 events
2:05 AMNBA Indiana Pacers to win listed - LEAN 1u, 61%, -138 Betano
2:05 AMNBA New York Knicks to win listed - LEAN 1u, 74%, -195 Bovada
2:05 AMNBA Denver Nuggets to win listed - LEAN 1u, 62%, -158 Pinnacle
2:05 AMNBA New Orleans Pelicans to win listed - LEAN 1u, 66%, -136 Pinnacle
2:05 AMNBA Orlando Magic to win listed - LEAN 1u, 72%, -163 Betano
2:05 AMNBA Houston Rockets to win listed - LEAN 1u, 75%, -215 FanDuel
2:05 AMNBA Oklahoma City Thunder to win listed - LEAN 1u, 56%, -132 DraftKings
9:20 AMNBA Boston Celtics to win listed - LEAN 1u, 59%, -195 Caesars
3:05 PMNBA Houston Rockets to win removed - drifted under the board's bar
4:24 PMNBA Oklahoma City Thunder to win removed - Ajay Mitchell is out, 1.5 points off the Oklahoma City Thunder; Agatha's 56% is now 50%
6:20 PMNBA Houston Rockets to win listed - LEAN 1u, 74%, -236 Pinnacle
6:45 PM#3201NBA Indiana Pacers to win sealed 15 minutes before start - 61% and -138 Betano frozen
6:45 PM#3202NBA New York Knicks to win sealed 15 minutes before start - 74% and -195 Bovada frozen
6:45 PM#3203NBA Boston Celtics to win sealed 15 minutes before start - 59% and -195 Caesars frozen
7:45 PM#3223NBA Denver Nuggets to win sealed 15 minutes before start - 62% and -158 Pinnacle frozen
7:45 PM#3224NBA New Orleans Pelicans to win sealed 15 minutes before start - 66% and -136 Pinnacle frozen
Times are Eastern and mark when the board changed, not the game clock.
Washington Wizards at Indiana Pacers - 7:00 PM ETAgatha predicts WSH 112, IND 115WSH 70 - IND 71, Q3 3:2361%LEAN1USEALED ODDS-138
The Washington Wizards come in having lost four games in a row, and they are without Tristan Vukcevic and Reece Beekman, both listed as Out. The Pacers won 107-103 at the Memphis Grizzlies on Nov 4, and Quenton Jackson gave them 10.0 points per game in 10 games this season. Agatha's prediction is a 115-112 Pacers win, about a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is that the Wizards won the latest meeting, 131-118, on Feb 20, 2026.Sealed Pick #3201 @ Nov 11, 6:45 PM ETFingerprint505e0051416b2ab5801419ec3c20bc4f4ae013e615f2ae40fc92e1af30793256Transaction4x4Re8hoXwwUxvouN8oZ8XXoYDMKAKjaVKPCh9grwR54UGTTdJvPZKCzhafrhAZvjfYnVaQ5okvcsXu6yRmQsbRLOpen keyKey displays latest 06:00 ET Thu, Nov 12.
Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks - 7:00 PM ETAgatha predicts CLE 108, NY 114CLE 69 - NY 64, Q3 6:4974%LEAN1USEALED ODDS-195
The Knicks have won five of the six meetings since Feb 24, 2026, including the latest, 109-97 on the road on Nov 7, 2026. They have won four games in a row and allow 102.3 points a game to 115.0 for the Cavaliers. Jalen Brunson gives them 25.9 points a game. Agatha has the Knicks winning 114-108, about a 3-in-4 chance. The risk is the Cavaliers score 116.5 points a game, more than the Knicks' 110.6.Sealed Pick #3202 @ Nov 11, 6:45 PM ETFingerprint2447f2baed47102f55cb0445be911c6773310893c42647101a55eae98d6ad89fTransaction5CUq4oBRkEfjUjmAD8vDYHb7tqfWKkpSW9JUBiZdrHCEDbxfNre5CGwDgYNfTvXUSshwQ3DAEbmi12HnK7W5P3VTOpen keyKey displays latest 06:00 ET Thu, Nov 12.
Boston Celtics at Toronto Raptors - 7:00 PM ETAgatha predicts BOS 113, TOR 111BOS 56 - TOR 61, Q3 10:1959%LEAN1USEALED ODDS-195
The Boston Celtics have won five of the six meetings since Jan 15, 2025, including the latest, 115-101 on Apr 5, 2026. They come in on four wins in a row, beating the Philadelphia 76ers 123-101 on Nov 10, and they are 9-2 this season. Agatha predicts a 113-111 Celtics win, close to a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is Paul George is listed as Out for the Celtics, and RJ Barrett had 21.3 points per game for the Raptors.Sealed Pick #3203 @ Nov 11, 6:45 PM ETFingerprintd1d482c2154d785c424bf2ccd1ff71b1d4f46a340ddedacf9bead52be9540705Transaction2AuZAJ63rkYnh72zta55RMXpSAsfmFhi5xdF7DBpQHBghsCQfinUSuvinczU6WwQh9wvwghNWqGHP5efT2PXhBC2Open keyKey displays latest 06:00 ET Thu, Nov 12.
Denver Nuggets at Memphis Grizzlies - 8:00 PM ETAgatha predicts DEN 116, MEM 113DEN 42 - MEM 31, Q2 8:1662%LEAN1USEALED ODDS-158
The Nuggets won five of the six meetings since Nov 19, 2024, including the latest, 136-119 on Apr 8, 2026. Nikola Jokic had 27.7 points per game, 12.9 rebounds per game and 10.7 assists per game for the Nuggets last season, and Jamal Murray added 25.4 points per game. The Grizzlies are without Scotty Pippen Jr. and Richie Saunders, both listed as Out. Agatha has the Nuggets winning 116-113, about a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is the Grizzlies are 7-3 this season and 5-0 on the road.Sealed Pick #3223 @ Nov 11, 7:45 PM ETFingerprintd81ab7d51ca54af53d1fc338b68c629b0ec48912959cae9105d5c20bf3f42cc0Transaction2hc5BqEpgyZgiNtASV7V6pXrteUpFV9Rp5kH1pcpnxtxzDUoK7UpuGsjBF8p4oo1f5HDuPhNgBP3U48H8Go2VuUpOpen keyKey displays latest 06:00 ET Thu, Nov 12.
Brooklyn Nets at New Orleans Pelicans - 8:00 PM ETAgatha predicts BKN 113, NO 117BKN 39 - NO 25, End of Q166%LEAN1USEALED ODDS-136The latest meeting went to the Pelicans, 116-113 on Jan 14, 2026. The Pelicans beat the Utah Jazz 120-113 at home on Nov 4, and Zion Williamson had 21.0 points per game, 5.3 rebounds per game and 2.7 assists per game in 10 games for the Pelicans this season. Agatha has the Pelicans winning 117-113, about a 2-in-3 chance. The risk is the Pelicans have lost three games in a row, including a 138-87 loss at the Golden State Warriors on Nov 9.Sealed Pick #3224 @ Nov 11, 7:45 PM ETFingerprintdac2106ba2dcaf745ed1064d7160a7bbf0e8c2369a13e048d4e1a8d08f73c522Transaction4ANKT7hh9pSrt4DdWTXjxYVE5Jdsg6z8gXKbhQpesiDPL8Vwwcpz2W51dcDHxu2YP72Z7mphTdHtvV2mccaJFPkDOpen keyKey displays latest 06:00 ET Thu, Nov 12.
72%LEAN1UOrlando Magic face a Jazz team that has lost nine games in a row, and the Magic won the latest meeting 120-117 on Feb 7, 2026. They won 107-100 at the Sacramento Kings on Nov 10, and they allow 114.6 points a game while the Jazz allow 117.6. Franz Wagner adds 22.0 points, 6.4 rebounds and 8.6 assists a game. Agatha has the Magic winning 115-109, about a 7-in-10 chance. The risk is that Paolo Banchero is listed as Out with a leg injury and the Magic went 1-4 over the last 5 games.
Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets - 9:30 PM ETAgatha predicts GS 109, HOU 11674%LEAN1UThe Rockets won four of the six meetings since Apr 30, 2025, including the latest 117-116 on Apr 5, 2026. Their defense has allowed fewer points per game than the Warriors this season, 106.4 to 111.2. They come in off a 110-100 home win over the Denver Nuggets on Nov 9, and Brandon Williams is out for the Warriors. Agatha's prediction is a 116-109 Rockets win, about a 3-in-4 chance. The risk is the Warriors have won eight games in a row and went 5-0 over their last 5 games.
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No NBA Best Bets today
Agatha lists a Best Bet only when the numbers clear the bar. Her calls on today's NBA games are in the predictions below.
NBA Predictions
3 gamesPredictions historyWednesday, November 11 - 14 events
3:05 AMNBA Los Angeles Lakers to win listed - PRED 1u, 81%, -555 BetOnline
3:05 AMNBA San Antonio Spurs to win listed - PRED 1u, 78%, -1000 Betfair
3:05 AMNBA Boston Celtics to win listed - PRED 1u, 63%, -263 Unibet
9:20 AMNBA Boston Celtics to win moved to Best Bets
10:05 AMNBA San Antonio Spurs to win removed - the best price moved to -1036 at Pinnacle, past the -1000 price limit
12:20 PMNBA San Antonio Spurs to win listed - PRED 1u, 78%, -1000 Sky Bet
1:20 PMNBA San Antonio Spurs to win removed - the best price moved to -1062 at Pinnacle, past the -1000 price limit
2:05 PMNBA San Antonio Spurs to win listed - PRED 1u, 78%, -1000 Sky Bet
3:05 PMNBA Houston Rockets to win listed - PRED 1u, 74%, -250 Caesars
4:35 PMNBA Oklahoma City Thunder to win listed - PRED 1u DOG, 56%, +113 Cloudbet
6:20 PMNBA Houston Rockets to win moved to Best Bets
6:50 PMNBA San Antonio Spurs to win removed - the best price moved to -1100 at Caesars, past the -1000 price limit
7:45 PM#3228NBA Los Angeles Lakers to win sealed 15 minutes before start - 77% and -772 Pinnacle frozen
7:48 PMNBA San Antonio Spurs to win - Not recorded: it was past the -1000 (1.10) price limit when it was due to be sealed.
Times are Eastern and mark when the predictions changed, not the game clock.
The rest of today's NBA games, each with Agatha's call. Each call with a line is sealed before its start and graded in All Picks on the track record.
San Antonio Spurs at Chicago Bulls - 8:00 PM ETAgatha predicts SA 120, CHI 112SA 30 - CHI 46, Q2 10:5578%PREDNOT RECORDEDNot recorded: it was past the -1000 (1.10) price limit when it was due to be sealed.The Spurs have won nine games in a row. Victor Wembanyama is at 30.1 points and 11.9 rebounds a game, and the Spurs won the latest meeting 129-114 on Mar 30, 2026. The Bulls have lost seven games in a row and allow 129.3 points a game this season. Agatha predicts a 120-112 Spurs win, about a 4-in-5 chance. The risk is Devin Vassell of the Spurs is listed day-to-day with a groin injury.
Los Angeles Lakers at Milwaukee Bucks - 8:00 PM ETAgatha predicts LAL 118, MIL 110LAL 32 - MIL 28, Q2 11:1077%PRED1USEALED ODDS-772The Lakers have won six games in a row, and they are 10-2 this season while the Bucks are 1-10. Luka Doncic had 39.3 points, 7.8 rebounds and 7.9 assists per game in 10 games for the Lakers this season. They also won 124-114 at the Atlanta Hawks on Nov 9 and scored more points per game than the Bucks this season, 122.1 to 106.3. Agatha predicts a 118-110 Lakers win, about a 3-in-4 chance. The risk is the Bucks won the latest meeting, 105-101, on Jan 9, 2026, and Quentin Grimes is out for the Lakers.Sealed Pick #3228 @ Nov 11, 7:45 PM ETFingerprinta4ad1c07d093f5435e4182c901ce4ff398d147c3aa30537770c559bf8c808cf0TransactionUxTFTLYcswr3HAXH8oV2thN7SxpMP5EGnuhUdpDbHns9T8eL18RUPr9FPnrANR5n69MBrmhi5EwEQ8xoDD2ZPBYOpen keyKey displays latest 06:00 ET Thu, Nov 12.
Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers - 10:00 PM ETAgatha predicts OKC 114, POR 11352%PREDDOG1UThe Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Washington Wizards 114-75 at home on Nov 7, a night their defense set the tone. They also won 128-97 at the Memphis Grizzlies on Nov 6, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is at 29.5 points per game in 11 games this season. Ja Morant is out for the Trail Blazers with a leg injury. Agatha predicts a 114-113 Thunder win, about even. The risk is the Trail Blazers won the latest meeting, 123-103 at home on Nov 10.
About NBA on Agatha
Agatha has 7 NBA Best Bets on today's board and 3 more calls in NBA Predictions. There are 10 NBA games on today's schedule. The public record holds 158 graded NBA picks since October 1, 2026: Moneyline (158). 71 of them made the front page as Best Bets.
The board lists the games that earned a pick. Every NBA game today, with Agatha's predicted final score, is on the schedule. See every NBA gameUp next
179 Games Today
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NHLLightning at Sabres6 today
NCAABRiver Hawks at Minutemen67 today
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SOCCERMonterrey at Queretaro
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MLSCincinnati at Orlando
WNBA
BOXINGButler vs Bazinyan
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CFLAlouettes at Elks
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