AGATHANo gut feelings

Nakashima vs Cobolli Prediction

Friday, Oct 23, 2026, 1:00 PM ET, Quarterfinal

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Nakashima to Win

57%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

NakashimaNakashima
2-0
CobolliCobolli

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS5:45 AM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-217DraftKingsBET

Where to bet it

Nakashima to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - 1 book

  1. DraftKings-217-217

Who will win Nakashima vs Cobolli?

Brandon Nakashima. Agatha gives Nakashima a 57% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Nakashima

In their last meeting, on Apr 27, 2025, Brandon Nakashima won 7-5, 6-3 in Round 3 of the Mutua Madrid Open on the main tour. Nakashima beat Kyrian Jacquet 6-4, 6-3 in Round 2 of the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes on Oct 22. Nakashima has won two matches in a row, both at the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes. Agatha picks Nakashima to win, a little better than a coin flip, and predicts straight sets. The risk: Flavio Cobolli beat Stan Wawrinka 6-2, 6-4 in Round 2 of the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes on Oct 22.

Nakashima vs Cobolli recent form

Nakashima: last 5 matches

Last 5: 3-2

  1. Oct 22Kyrian JacquetW6-4, 6-3
  2. Oct 20Hamad MedjedovicW7-6(4), 6-7(4), 6-2
  3. Oct 11Alexander BublikL7-6(7), 3-6, 6-7(5)
  4. Oct 9Matteo BerrettiniW7-6(4), 7-5
  5. Sep 30Ugo HumbertL3-6, 2-6

Cobolli: last 5 matches

Last 5: 2-3

  1. Oct 22Stan WawrinkaW6-2, 6-4
  2. Oct 9Adrian MannarinoL1-6, 6-4, 3-6
  3. Oct 1Roman SafiullinL3-6, 2-6
  4. Sep 5Alexander BlockxL7-6(4), 3-6, 0-6, 3-6
  5. Sep 3Tristan SchoolkateW3-6, 6-3, 6-4, 7-5

Nakashima vs Cobolli head-to-head

Since Apr 27, 2025: Nakashima 1, Cobolli 0

  1. Apr 27, 2025Nakashima 7-5, 6-3Mutua Madrid Open, Round 3

Nakashima vs Cobolli player stats

  • Flavio Cobolli

    ATP ranking
    No. 63,640 pts
    2026 record
    33-201 title
    Titles
    36 finals

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Brandon Nakashima
-200
Flavio Cobolli
+160