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Fritz vs Paul Prediction

Saturday, Oct 24, 2026, 8:00 AM ET, Semifinal

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Fritz to Win

54%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

FritzFritz
2-0
PaulPaul

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS5:15 AM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-204DraftKingsBET

Where to bet it

Fritz to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - 1 book

  1. DraftKings-204-204

Who will win Fritz vs Paul?

Taylor Fritz. Agatha gives Fritz a 54% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Fritz

Taylor Fritz has won two matches in a row, both at the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes, beating Daniel Altmaier in the quarterfinal on Oct 23. Fritz is 24-10 on hard courts this year and 35-15 on the main tour this year. He has won 11 titles on the tour. Agatha picks Fritz to win, slightly better than even, and predicts straight sets. The risk is the two meetings since Feb 19, 2024 are split 1-1 on the main tour, with Paul winning the latest.

Fritz vs Paul recent form

Fritz: last 5 matches

Last 5: 3-2

  1. Oct 23Daniel AltmaierW7-6(5), 6-2
  2. Oct 22Pierre-Hugues HerbertW6-2, 7-5
  3. Oct 12Stefanos TsitsipasL6-3, 5-7, 3-6
  4. Oct 10Matteo ArnaldiW7-5, 6-4
  5. Sep 30Jaume MunarL7-6(7), 4-6, 3-6

Paul: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Oct 23Corentin MoutetW6-4, 3-6, 6-3
  2. Oct 21Benjamin BonziW6-4, 6-7(4), 6-3
  3. Oct 16Daniil MedvedevL3-6, 6-1, 3-6
  4. Oct 14Zizou BergsW7-6(5), 6-4
  5. Oct 12Valentin VacherotW6-4, 6-2

Fritz vs Paul head-to-head

Since Oct 28, 2021: Fritz 3, Paul 3

  1. Feb 20, 2026Paul 6-4, 6-3Delray Beach Open, Quarterfinal
  2. Feb 19, 2024Fritz 6-2, 6-3Delray Beach Open, Final
  3. Mar 3, 2023Paul 6-3, 6-7(2), 7-6(2)Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC, Semifinal
  4. Mar 28, 2022Fritz 7-6(2), 6-4Miami Open, Round 3
  5. Nov 10, 2021Paul 6-4, 6-4Stockholm Open, Round 2
  6. Oct 28, 2021Fritz 7-6(3), 6-4St Petersburg Open

Fritz vs Paul player stats

  • Taylor Fritz

    ATP ranking
    No. 142,880 pts
    2026 record
    35-151 title
    Titles
    1123 finals

  • Tommy Paul

    ATP ranking
    No. 152,575 pts
    2026 record
    43-191 title
    Titles
    511 finals

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Taylor Fritz
-222
Tommy Paul
+175