Paul vs Medvedev Prediction
Friday, Oct 16, 2026, Time TBA, Quarterfinal
AGATHA'S PICKPRED1UDOG
Medvedev to Win
PREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
Predicted 0-2
BetRivers-
Where to bet it
Medvedev to win: best odds
Match at Betfair: opened -189, now -189
Who will win Paul vs Medvedev?
Daniil Medvedev. Agatha gives Medvedev a 55% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.
Why Agatha picks Medvedev
Agatha rates Daniil Medvedev 1935 and Tommy Paul 1888 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007. Net gap: 47 rating points toward Daniil Medvedev, for a predicted 55 percent match win. Most-likely scoreline: Daniil Medvedev in 2-0.
Paul vs Medvedev recent form
Paul: last 5 matches
Last 5: 3-2
- Oct 14Zizou BergsW7-6(5), 6-4
- Oct 12Valentin VacherotW6-4, 6-2
- Oct 10Adolfo Daniel VallejoW6-2, 6-2
- Sep 30Alejandro TabiloL1-6, 2-6
- Sep 6Carlos AlcarazL4-6, 3-6, 4-6
Medvedev: last 5 matches
Last 5: 4-1
- Oct 14Stefanos TsitsipasW6-4, 7-5
- Oct 12Dalibor SvrcinaW6-2, 6-3
- Oct 10Jan-Lennard StruffW4-6, 6-4, 6-3
- Oct 5Novak DjokovicL5-7, 3-5
- Oct 4Francisco CerundoloW7-6(4), 6-3
Paul vs Medvedev head-to-head
Since Jun 2, 2021: Medvedev 4, Paul 1
- Mar 12, 2025Medvedev 6-4, 6-0BNP Paribas Open, Round 4
- May 14, 2024Paul 6-1, 6-4Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Round 4
- Mar 16, 2024Medvedev 1-6, 7-6(3), 6-2BNP Paribas Open, Semifinal
- Sep 29, 2023Medvedev 6-2, 6-1China Open, Round 1
- Jun 2, 2021Medvedev 3-6, 6-1, 6-4, 6-3French Open, Round 2
Paul vs Medvedev player stats
- ATP ranking
- No. 182,375 pts
- 2026 record
- 41-181 title
- Titles
- 511 finals
- ATP ranking
- No. 63,860 pts
- 2026 record
- 44-173 titles
- Titles
- 2444 finals
Market (latest pregame line)
Moneyline
- Tommy Paul
- +189
- Daniil Medvedev
- -236
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)
- Moneyline (Daniil Medvedev) at FanDuel: opened -194, now -194