AGATHANo gut feelings

Cerundolo vs Medvedev Prediction

Sunday, Oct 4, 2026, 4:30 AM ET, Quarterfinal

Agatha Research Desk

Agatha's call

  1. TENNIS ATP
    Francisco Cerundolo at Daniil Medvedev - 4:30 AM ET
    62%
    PRED1U
    ODDS-270FanaticsBET

Why

Agatha rates Daniil Medvedev 1923 and Francisco Cerundolo 1824 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007. Net gap: 99 rating points toward Daniil Medvedev, for a predicted 62 percent match win. Most-likely scoreline: Daniil Medvedev in 2-0, about 55 percent of that player's winning outcomes.

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Francisco Cerundolo
+205
Daniil Medvedev
-270

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Daniil Medvedev) at BetMGM: opened -275, now -275