AgathaRecord
AGATHANo gut feelings
JOIN

Tsitsipas vs Medvedev Prediction

Wednesday, Oct 14, 2026, Time TBA, Round 4

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Medvedev to Win

62%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

TsitsipasTsitsipas
0-2
MedvedevMedvedev

Predicted 0-2

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS-
BEST ODDSBEST-210Hard RockBET

Where to bet it

Medvedev to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - best 6 of 22 books

  1. Hard Rock-210-210
  2. Unibet-213-213
  3. LiveScore Bet-213-213
  4. BetRivers-215-215
  5. Casumo-215-215
  6. 1xBet-216-216

Match at Hard Rock: opened -180, now -180

Who will win Tsitsipas vs Medvedev?

Daniil Medvedev. Agatha gives Medvedev a 62% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Medvedev

Agatha rates Daniil Medvedev 1930 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 1830 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007. Net gap: 100 rating points toward Daniil Medvedev, for a predicted 62 percent match win. Most-likely scoreline: Daniil Medvedev in 2-0.

Tsitsipas vs Medvedev recent form

Tsitsipas: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Oct 12Taylor FritzW3-6, 7-5, 6-3
  2. Oct 10Luciano DarderiW6-3, 6-4
  3. Oct 8Kimmer CoppejansW6-3, 7-5
  4. Oct 1Valentin VacherotL6-4, 6-7(5), 4-6
  5. Sep 30Tomas Martin EtcheverryW4-6, 6-3, 6-4

Medvedev: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Oct 12Dalibor SvrcinaW6-2, 6-3
  2. Oct 10Jan-Lennard StruffW4-6, 6-4, 6-3
  3. Oct 5Novak DjokovicL5-7, 3-5
  4. Oct 4Francisco CerundoloW7-6(4), 6-3
  5. Oct 3Jan-Lennard StruffW6-4, 6-3

Tsitsipas vs Medvedev head-to-head

Since Jun 8, 2021: Tsitsipas 4, Medvedev 4

  1. Feb 18, 2026Tsitsipas 6-3, 6-4Qatar ExxonMobil Open, Round 2
  2. Oct 9, 2024Medvedev 7-6(3), 6-3Rolex Shanghai Masters, Round 4
  3. Oct 28, 2023Medvedev 6-4, 7-6(6)Erste Bank Open, Semifinal
  4. May 20, 2023Medvedev 7-5, 7-5Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Semifinal
  5. Nov 16, 2022Tsitsipas 6-3, 6-7(11), 7-6(1)Nitto ATP Finals, Group Stage
  6. Aug 20, 2022Tsitsipas 7-6(6), 3-6, 6-3Cincinnati Open, Semifinal
  7. Jan 28, 2022Medvedev 7-6(5), 4-6, 6-4, 6-1Australian Open, Semifinal
  8. Jun 8, 2021Tsitsipas 6-3, 7-6(3), 7-5French Open, Quarterfinal

Tsitsipas vs Medvedev player stats

  • Daniil Medvedev

    ATP ranking
    No. 63,860 pts
    2026 record
    43-173 titles
    Titles
    2444 finals

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Stefanos Tsitsipas
+165
Daniil Medvedev
-213

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Daniil Medvedev) at Unibet: opened -182, now -182