AGATHANo gut feelings

Ruud vs Jodar Prediction

Friday, Oct 16, 2026, Time TBA, Quarterfinal

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Jodar to Win

57%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

RuudRuud
0-2
JodarJodar

Predicted 0-2

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS-
BEST ODDSBEST-130BovadaBET

Where to bet it

Jodar to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - best 6 of 24 books

  1. Bovada-130-130
  2. FanDuel-137-137
  3. Betfair-137-137
  4. Betsson-137-137
  5. Paddy Power-138-138
  6. Betway-138-138

Match at Bovada: opened -150, now -150

Who will win Ruud vs Jodar?

Rafael Jodar. Agatha gives Jodar a 57% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Jodar

Agatha rates Rafael Jodar 1894 and Casper Ruud 1832 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007. Net gap: 62 rating points toward Rafael Jodar, for a predicted 57 percent match win. Most-likely scoreline: Rafael Jodar in 2-0.

Ruud vs Jodar recent form

Ruud: last 5 matches

Last 5: 3-2

  1. Oct 14Felix Auger-AliassimeW5-2 ret.
  2. Oct 12Learner TienW6-4, 7-6(3)
  3. Oct 10Bu YunchaoketeW6-1, 7-6(2)
  4. Sep 30Luciano DarderiL6-7(3), 3-6
  5. Aug 16Christopher O'ConnellL5-7, 2-1 ret.

Jodar: last 5 matches

Last 5: 3-2

  1. Oct 14Botic Van De ZandschulpW6-7(4), 6-4, 6-2
  2. Oct 12Jiri LeheckaW4-6, 7-6(2), 6-4
  3. Oct 10Thiago Agustin TiranteW4-6, 6-2, 6-3
  4. Oct 1Adolfo Daniel VallejoL1-6, 3-6
  5. Sep 2Bu YunchaoketeL2-6, 1-6, 1-6

Ruud vs Jodar player stats

  • Casper Ruud

    ATP ranking
    No. 242,145 pts
    2026 record
    27-16
    Titles
    1427 finals
  • Rafael Jodar

    ATP ranking
    No. 132,659 pts
    2026 record
    39-161 title
    Titles
    12 finals

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Casper Ruud
+126
Rafael Jodar
-154

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Rafael Jodar) at FanDuel: opened -144, now -144