Musetti vs Arnaldi Prediction
Monday, Oct 19, 2026, Time TBA, Round 1

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1UDOG
Musetti to Win
PREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
Predicted 2-0
Where to bet it
Musetti to win: best odds
Who will win Musetti vs Arnaldi?
Lorenzo Musetti. Agatha gives Musetti a 71% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.
Why Agatha picks Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti has owned this matchup: he won both meetings since Jan 14, 2025 on the main tour, the latest in Round 1 of the Mubadala DC Open, where Matteo Arnaldi did not finish the match. Musetti is 20-12 on the main tour this year, and Arnaldi arrives off a 7-5, 6-4 loss to Taylor Fritz in Round 2 of the Rolex Shanghai Masters on Oct 10. Agatha gives Musetti about a 7-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Musetti has lost two matches in a row, the latest at the Rolex Shanghai Masters.
Musetti vs Arnaldi recent form
Musetti: last 5 matches
Last 5: 2-3
- Oct 9Zhou YiL6-7(7), 6-3, 6-7(1)
- Sep 3Dane SweenyL6-3, 1-6, 2-6, 2-6
- Sep 1Arthur FeryW6-3, 6-3, 7-5
- Aug 21Frances TiafoeL6-7(2), 5-7
- Aug 19Jaime FariaW7-5, 6-2
Arnaldi: last 5 matches
Last 5: 2-3
- Oct 10Taylor FritzL5-7, 4-6
- Oct 8Bernard TomicW6-3, 6-1
- Oct 3Carlos AlcarazL6-7(6), 1-6
- Sep 30Rei SakamotoW2-6, 6-4, 6-4
- Aug 31James DuckworthL7-5, 3-6, 2-6, 6-7(8)
Musetti vs Arnaldi head-to-head
Since May 14, 2023: Musetti 4, Arnaldi 0
- Jul 27, 2026Musetti 6-0, 3-1 ret.Mubadala DC Open, Round 1
- Jan 14, 2025Musetti 7-6(4), 4-6, 7-6(5), 6-3Australian Open, Round 1
- Jul 19, 2023Musetti 6-3, 4-6, 7-6(6)Nordea Open, Round 2
- May 14, 2023Musetti 6-4, 6-4Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Round 2
Musetti vs Arnaldi player stats
- ATP ranking
- No. 252,010 pts
- 2026 record
- 20-12
- Titles
- 29 finals
- ATP ranking
- No. 381,386 pts
- 2026 record
- 11-15
- Titles
- 0
Market (latest pregame line)
Moneyline
- Lorenzo Musetti
- -312
- Matteo Arnaldi
- +240
