Matteo Arnaldi vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
Agatha's call
Carlos Alcaraz to win92%
Price -1250 at BetRivers
Projected sets: 2-0 (about 74% of that player's winning outcomes)
Why
Agatha rates Carlos Alcaraz 2137 and Matteo Arnaldi 1670 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007.
Net gap: 467 rating points toward Carlos Alcaraz, which projects to a 92 percent match win.
Most-likely scoreline: Carlos Alcaraz in 2-0, about 74 percent of that player's winning outcomes.
Market (latest pregame line)
Moneyline
- Matteo Arnaldi
- +740
- Carlos Alcaraz
- -1400
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)
- Moneyline (home): opened -1250, now -1250
- Moneyline (home): opened -1520, now -1400