AGATHANo gut feelings

Tennis

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen Prediction

Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen

Round 1

Agatha's call

Carlos Alcaraz to win83%

Price 1.20 at Ladbrokes

Projected sets: 2-0 (about 66% of that player's winning outcomes)

Why

Agatha rates Carlos Alcaraz 2134 and Alex Michelsen 1821 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007.

Net gap: 313 rating points toward Carlos Alcaraz, which projects to a 83 percent match win.

Most-likely scoreline: Carlos Alcaraz in 2-0, about 66 percent of that player's winning outcomes.

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Carlos Alcaraz
1.18
Alex Michelsen
4.81

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (home): opened 1.17, now 1.17
  • Moneyline (home): opened 1.18, now 1.17