AGATHANo gut feelings

de Minaur vs Tien Prediction

Wednesday, Oct 28, 2026, Time TBA, Round 2

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

de Minaur to Win

57%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

de Minaurde Minaur
2-0
TienTien

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS-
BEST ODDSBEST-116WinamaxBET

Where to bet it

de Minaur to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - best 6 of 19 books

  1. Winamax-116-116
  2. DraftKings-125-125
  3. William Hill-125-125
  4. Bovada-125-125
  5. 888sport-125-125
  6. FanDuel-128-128

Match at Winamax: opened -128, now -116

de Minaur vs Tien line movement

MATCH de Minaur to win at Winamax

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Alex de Minaur
-130
Learner Tien
+100

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Learner Tien) at FanDuel: opened +106, now +106

Who will win de Minaur vs Tien?

Alex de Minaur. Agatha gives de Minaur a 57% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks de Minaur

Alex de Minaur comes in off a win, beating Tomas Machac 1-6, 6-4, 6-3 in Round 1 of the Erste Bank Open on Oct 26. He also beat Karen Khachanov 6-3, 6-4 in Round 4 of the Rolex Shanghai Masters on Oct 13. Over their last ten matches, de Minaur went 7-3 and Learner Tien went 6-4. Agatha picks de Minaur to win, a little better than a coin flip, and predicts straight sets. The risk is Tien's 6-3, 6-1 win over Luca van Assche in Round 1 of the Erste Bank Open on Oct 26.

de Minaur vs Tien recent form

de Minaur: last 5 matches

Last 4: 3-1

  1. Oct 26Tomas MachacW1-6, 6-4, 6-3
  2. Oct 15Alexander ZverevL4-6, 4-6
  3. Oct 13Karen KhachanovW6-3, 6-4
  4. Oct 11Rei SakamotoW7-6(6), 6-4
  5. Oct 9Alex MolcanWW/O

Tien: last 5 matches

Last 5: 2-3

  1. Oct 26Luca Van AsscheW6-3, 6-1
  2. Oct 12Casper RuudL4-6, 6-7(3)
  3. Oct 10Zachary SvajdaW7-5, 7-5
  4. Oct 1Hubert HurkaczL7-5, 3-6, 4-6
  5. Sep 7Karen KhachanovL5-7, 6-4, 7-6(6), 1-6, 4-6

de Minaur vs Tien player stats

  • Alex de Minaur

    ATP ranking
    No. 103,280 pts
    2026 record
    38-191 title
    Titles
    1122 finals
  • Learner Tien

    ATP ranking
    No. 182,345 pts
    2026 record
    31-181 title
    Titles
    23 finals