AGATHANo gut feelings

Alcaraz vs Khachanov Prediction

Tuesday, Oct 27, 2026, Time TBA, Round 1

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Alcaraz to Win

87%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

AlcarazAlcaraz
2-0
KhachanovKhachanov

Predicted 2-0

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS-
BEST ODDSBEST-455William HillBET

Where to bet it

Alcaraz to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - 5 books

  1. William Hill-455-455
  2. Betfair-500-500
  3. BetVictor-500-500
  4. Betano-526-526
  5. FanDuel-549-549

Match at William Hill: opened -500, now -455

Alcaraz vs Khachanov line movement

MATCH Alcaraz to win at William Hill

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Carlos Alcaraz
-500
Karen Khachanov
+358

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Karen Khachanov) at bet365: opened +400, now +400

Who will win Alcaraz vs Khachanov?

Carlos Alcaraz. Agatha gives Alcaraz an 87% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Alcaraz

The head to head is the first thing to know: Carlos Alcaraz won all three meetings since Sep 30, 2024 on the main tour, the latest 6-7, 6-4, 6-3 in the quarterfinal of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open on Feb 19, 2026. He beat Jiri Lehecka 7-6, 6-4 in the final of the Japan Open Tennis Championships on Oct 6, and he is 32-5 on the main tour this year. Agatha gives Alcaraz about a 7-in-8 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Alcaraz last played on Oct 12, 15 days before this match, and that outing was a loss to Zizou Bergs.

Alcaraz vs Khachanov recent form

Alcaraz: last 5 matches

Last 5: 4-1

  1. Oct 12Zizou BergsL5-7, 6-7(4)
  2. Oct 10Juan Manuel CerundoloW6-3, 6-3
  3. Oct 6Jiri LeheckaW7-6(4), 6-4
  4. Oct 5Jaume MunarW5-7, 6-3, 6-1
  5. Oct 4Denis ShapovalovW7-6(3), 2-1 ret.

Khachanov: last 5 matches

Last 5: 3-2

  1. Oct 23Alexander BublikL6-4, 6-7(5), 6-7(5)
  2. Oct 22Tomas MachacW6-2, 4-6, 7-6(7)
  3. Oct 20Rei SakamotoW6-2, 6-4
  4. Oct 13Alex de MinaurL3-6, 4-6
  5. Oct 11Adrian MannarinoW6-2, 6-4

Alcaraz vs Khachanov head-to-head

Since May 29, 2022: Alcaraz 6, Khachanov 0

  1. Feb 19, 2026Alcaraz 6-7(3), 6-4, 6-3Qatar ExxonMobil Open, Quarterfinal
  2. May 13, 2025Alcaraz 6-3, 3-6, 7-5Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Round 4
  3. Sep 30, 2024Alcaraz 7-5, 6-2China Open, Quarterfinal
  4. May 3, 2023Alcaraz 6-4, 7-5Mutua Madrid Open, Quarterfinal
  5. Jul 22, 2022Alcaraz 6-0, 6-2Bitpanda Hamburg Open, Quarterfinal
  6. May 29, 2022Alcaraz 6-1, 6-4, 6-4Roland Garros, Round 4

Alcaraz vs Khachanov player stats

  • Carlos Alcaraz

    ATP ranking
    No. 35,610 pts
    2026 record
    32-53 titles
    Titles
    2735 finals