AGATHANo gut feelings

Shapovalov vs Alcaraz Prediction

Sunday, Oct 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, Quarterfinal

Agatha Research Desk

Agatha's call

  1. TENNIS ATP
    Denis Shapovalov at Carlos Alcaraz - 12:00 AM ET
    87%
    PRED1U

Why

Agatha rates Carlos Alcaraz 2138 and Denis Shapovalov 1780 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007. Net gap: 358 rating points toward Carlos Alcaraz, for a predicted 87 percent match win. Most-likely scoreline: Carlos Alcaraz in 2-0, about 69 percent of that player's winning outcomes.