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Rublev vs Paul Prediction

Tuesday, Oct 27, 2026, Time TBA, Round 1

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Paul to Win

60%WIN CHANCE

PREDICTED SETS

RublevRublev
0-2
PaulPaul

Predicted 0-2

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS-
BEST ODDSBEST-152PinnacleBET

Where to bet it

Paul to win: best odds

MATCHbest price first - 2 books

  1. Pinnacle-152-152
  2. Cloudbet-159-159

Match at Pinnacle: opened -152, now -152

Rublev vs Paul line movement

MATCH Paul to win at Betano

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Andrey Rublev
+127
Tommy Paul
-159

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Tommy Paul) at bet365: opened -152, now -152

Who will win Rublev vs Paul?

Tommy Paul. Agatha gives Paul a 60% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Paul

Andrey Rublev has lost three matches in a row, the latest at the Almaty Open, where Adrian Mannarino beat him 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 in Round 2 on Oct 21. Tommy Paul comes in off a 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 win over Corentin Moutet in the quarterfinal of the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes on Oct 23. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives Paul close to a 6-in-10 chance to win. The risk is Paul's last match, a 6-3, 7-5 loss to Taylor Fritz in the semifinal of the Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes on Oct 24.

Rublev vs Paul recent form

Rublev: last 5 matches

Last 5: 2-3

  1. Oct 21Adrian MannarinoL4-6, 6-3, 3-6
  2. Oct 9Rei SakamotoL4-6, 4-6
  3. Oct 4Alex de MinaurL6-1, 2-6, 3-6
  4. Oct 3Roman SafiullinW6-2, 3-6, 6-4
  5. Oct 1Tallon GriekspoorW6-4, 5-7, 7-6(6)

Paul: last 5 matches

Last 5: 3-2

  1. Oct 24Taylor FritzL3-6, 5-7
  2. Oct 23Corentin MoutetW6-4, 3-6, 6-3
  3. Oct 21Benjamin BonziW6-4, 6-7(4), 6-3
  4. Oct 16Daniil MedvedevL3-6, 6-1, 3-6
  5. Oct 14Zizou BergsW7-6(5), 6-4

Rublev vs Paul head-to-head

Since Aug 2, 2018: Rublev 5, Paul 1

  1. Oct 11, 2023Rublev 7-5, 7-5Rolex Shanghai Masters, Round 4
  2. Oct 14, 2022Rublev 7-5, 6-3Watergen Gijon Open, Quarterfinal
  3. Oct 11, 2021Paul 6-4, 3-6, 7-5BNP Paribas Open, Round 3
  4. May 4, 2021Rublev 6-7(5), 6-3, 6-4Mutua Madrid Open, Round 2
  5. Sep 23, 2020Rublev 6-1, 3-6, 6-2Hamburg European Open, Round 2
  6. Aug 2, 2018Rublev 7-6(5), 6-4Citi Open, Round 2

Rublev vs Paul player stats

  • Andrey Rublev

    ATP ranking
    No. 222,175 pts
    2026 record
    33-211 title
    Titles
    1831 finals

  • Tommy Paul

    ATP ranking
    No. 152,575 pts
    2026 record
    43-201 title
    Titles
    511 finals