AGATHANo gut feelings

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Saturday, Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKAjaxAjax

FINAL

0100

Predicted 3-1

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
59%WIN CHANCEAjax to WinWON#2303 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 59%

Agatha's pick: Ajax to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Ajax 1, AZ Alkmaar 0

SEALED ODDS
-119Pinnacle
CLOSING ODDS
-116Pinnacle, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.84uat the sealed price
GRADED
5:56 PM ETreceipt #2303

The prediction, checked

Agatha predicted Ajax 3, AZ Alkmaar 1. Final: Ajax 1, AZ Alkmaar 0 - not exact: Ajax scored 2 fewer, AZ Alkmaar 1 fewer. NOT EXACT

AJA

Tale of the tape

AZ

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar recent form

AJA 3-2-0 Ajax: last 5 matches

  1. W2-1SPA Oct 25 Sparta Rotterdam, 2-1
  2. W5-2GRO Oct 18 Groningen, 5-2
  3. D1-1NEC Oct 10 Nijmegen, 1-1
  4. D2-2EXC Sep 19 Excelsior, 2-2
  5. W5-1WIL Sep 15 Willem II, 5-1

AZ 1-2-2 AZ Alkmaar: last 5 matches

  1. L0-2TWE Oct 25 Twente, 0-2
  2. D2-2CAM Oct 18 Cambuur, 2-2
  3. L0-2FEY Oct 10 Feyenoord, 0-2
  4. W1-0TEL Sep 20 Telstar, 1-0
  5. D1-1WIL Sep 11 Willem II, 1-1
Goals scored, last 5AJA 15AZ 4
Goals allowed, last 5fewer is betterAJA 7AZ 7

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar line movement

MONEYLINE Ajax to win at Pinnacle

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (AJA)

-0.75

Total

3.25

Moneyline

AJA
-124
Draw
+300
AZ
+285

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (16 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (AJA) at FanDuel: opened -125, now -125

Agatha's pick for Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar

Ajax. Agatha gave Ajax a 59% chance to win and predicted a 3-1 final. It was one of Agatha's Best Eredivisie Bets for Oct 31.

Why Agatha picked Ajax

Ajax get the call here. She has this one AZ 1, AJA 3 on the scoreboard.

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 22, 8:30 AM ETAjax vs Den Haag
  2. Sun, Nov 22, 8:30 AM ETSparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar