AGATHANo gut feelings

In season

Golf Schedule

Every golf tournament on the calendar, with Agatha's calibrated win probabilities over the field where she has a model, and a countdown to the next start.

The Field Card: Agatha's Read on the Tournament

Tomorrow - Austin Championship pres. by Compliance Solutions

Omni Barton Creek Resort & Spa (Fazio Canyons Course) - 7:00 AM ET - 120 players in the field

GOLF AUSTIN

Doug Ghim to win

4.0%
  1. Doug GhimDoug Ghim4.0%
  2. Brian HarmanBrian Harman3.0%
  3. Jordan SmithJordan Smith2.8%
  4. Ben KohlesBen Kohles2.7%
  5. Blades BrownBlades Brown2.3%
  6. Pierceson CoodyPierceson Coody2.1%
  7. Christiaan BezuidenhoutChristiaan Bezuidenhout2.0%
  8. Stephan JaegerStephan Jaeger2.0%
  9. Seamus PowerSeamus Power1.8%
  10. Mac MeissnerMac Meissner1.7%
  11. Field (110 more players)75.5%

Casey Russell, Christiaan Maas, Cole Sherwood, Frankie Harris and 2 more: priced at a conservative field baseline (fewer than 5 PGA Tour events in the data); never the outright call.

WHY?

Doug Ghim tops the field on Agatha's numbers at 4.0%. The 110 players beyond the strip still hold 75.5% between them.

Calibrated field win probabilities from every PGA Tour leaderboard since 2003. On the untouched 2020 to 2025 holdout the top ten contained the winner in 43% of tournaments (39% stated) and the outright call won 11% of the time against a 1% random floor. Full fields price favorites at 2 to 6%, so longshot weeks are normal golf; 2024 and 2026 ran cooler than stated, and small limited fields tend to run above their numbers. Information only, never a staked play.

Thu 11/19 - The RSM Classic

Sea Island Golf Club (Seaside Course) - 7:00 AM ET - field TBA

GOLF RSM

Field not posted yet; the win probabilities post once the tournament field is published, usually early tournament week.

Next tournaments

PGA Tour - next tournament

Austin Championship pres. by Compliance Solutions

0
days
0
hours
0
min
0
sec

GOLF AUSTIN - starts Thu, Nov 12

LIV Golf - next tournament

Season complete. The 2027 schedule lands here the day it is published.

Schedule and countdown only. Agatha has no LIV model yet; LIV win probabilities arrive with their own build.

PGA Tour fields are priced by Agatha's field model once a tournament's entry list is published, usually early tournament week. LIV shows schedule and countdown only until its own model ships.