AGATHANo gut feelings

Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction

Thursday, Oct 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ET, Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKSeattle Sounders FCSeattle Sounders FC

FINAL

0210

Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
66%WIN CHANCESeattle Sounders FC to WinWON#32 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 66%

Agatha's pick: Seattle Sounders FC to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Seattle Sounders FC 2, Sporting Kansas City 1

SEALED ODDS
-165BetUS
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.61uat the sealed price
GRADED
11:33 PM ETreceipt #32

Match Center

Team12T
SEA022
SKC101

Leaders

  • Paul Arriola (SEA): 4
  • Jackson Ragen (SEA): 93
  • Jackson Ragen (SEA): 14
  • Andre Luiz (SKC): 5
  • Emir Karic (SKC): 42
  • Jansen Miller (SKC): 16
SEA

Tale of the tape

SKC

Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City recent form

SEA 2-3-0 Seattle Sounders FC: last 5 matches

  1. W3-1MIN Sep 26 Minnesota United FC, 3-1
  2. W2-0RSL Sep 23 Real Salt Lake, 2-0
  3. D3-3COL Sep 19 Colorado Rapids, 3-3
  4. D1-1LA Sep 12 LA Galaxy, 1-1
  5. D0-0RBNY Sep 5 Red Bull New York, 0-0

SKC 2-0-3 Sporting Kansas City: last 5 matches

  1. W2-0HOU Sep 26 Houston Dynamo FC, 2-0
  2. L3-4PHI Sep 19 Philadelphia Union, 3-4
  3. W3-1LAFC Sep 12 LAFC, 3-1
  4. L3-4DAL Sep 5 FC Dallas, 3-4
  5. L0-3VAN Aug 29 Vancouver Whitecaps, 0-3
Goals scored, last 5SEA 9SKC 11
Goals allowed, last 5fewer is betterSEA 5SKC 12

Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head

Since May 2, 2026: Seattle Sounders FC 0, Sporting Kansas City 0, 1 draw

  1. May 2, 2026Drew 1-1

Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City line movement

MONEYLINE Seattle Sounders FC to win at BetUS

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (SEA)

-1

Total

3.5

Moneyline

SEA
-162
Draw
+360
SKC
+390

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (21 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (SEA) at FanDuel: opened -270, now -175
  • Spread (SEA) at BetOnline: opened -1, now -1
  • Total at BetMGM: opened 3.5, now 3.5

Agatha's pick for Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City

Seattle Sounders FC. Agatha gave Seattle Sounders FC a 66% chance to win at Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington. It was one of Agatha's Best MLS Bets for Oct 1.

TV: Apple TV

Up next

  1. Thu, Nov 19, 10:00 PM ETSeattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt LakeAgatha's call: Seattle Sounders FC to win, 48%
  2. Thu, Nov 19, 7:30 PM ETOrlando City SC vs FC CincinnatiAgatha's call: Orlando City SC to win, 54%