AGATHANo gut feelings

Hawks vs Thunder Prediction

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2026, 8:00 PM ET, Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Agatha Research Desk

Atlanta HawksAWAYAtlantaHawks7-5

PREDICTED SCORE

109117

Thunder win by 8

AGATHA'S PICKOklahoma City ThunderHOMEOklahoma CityThunder8-2
79%WIN CHANCEThunder to WinSEALS AT 7:45 PM ET

Win chance can move until the seal

Agatha's pick: Thunder to WinTHE VERDICT
ATL

Tale of the tape

OKC

This season

Points per gameATL 118.3OKC 112.2
Points against per gamefewer is betterATL 116.2OKC 104.2

Hawks vs Thunder recent form

WHY
Points scored, last 5ATL 605OKC 581
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterATL 586OKC 519

Hawks vs Thunder key players

Atlanta HawksOklahoma City Thunder

3.2 Rebounds - 2.6 Assists3.9 Rebounds - 4.9 Assists
PointsATL 21.9OKC 29.9
8.6 Rebounds - 7.2 Assists3.7 Rebounds - 3.3 Assists
PointsATL 19.2OKC 18.9
3.7 Rebounds - 2.4 Assists3.4 Rebounds - 1.7 Assists
PointsATL 14.9OKC 12.1

Hawks vs Thunder injury report

Hawks vs Thunder head-to-head

WHY

Since Jan 3, 2024: Thunder 4, Hawks 1

  1. Dec 29, 2025Thunder 140-129
  2. Oct 25, 2025Thunder 117-100
  3. Feb 28, 2025Thunder 135-119
  4. Oct 27, 2024Thunder 128-104
  5. Jan 3, 2024Hawks 141-138

Who will win Hawks vs Thunder?

The Thunder. Agatha gives Oklahoma City a 79% chance to win and predicts a 117-109 final at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. It is Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks the Thunder

The Thunder won four of the five meetings since Jan 3, 2024, including the latest, 140-129 on Dec 29, 2025. The Thunder beat the Washington Wizards 114-75 at home on Nov 7. The Thunder have won four games in a row. Agatha has the Thunder winning 117-109, about a 4-in-5 chance. The risk: the Hawks beat the Brooklyn Nets 124-121 at home on Nov 7.