AGATHANo gut feelings

Rockets vs Pacers Prediction

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET, Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis

Agatha Research Desk

AGATHA'S PICKHouston RocketsAWAYHoustonRockets8-3

PREDICTED SCORE

114109

Rockets win by 5

Indiana PacersHOMEIndianaPacers3-8
72%WIN CHANCERockets to WinSEALS AT 6:45 PM ET

Win chance can move until the seal

Agatha's pick: Rockets to WinTHE VERDICT
HOU

Tale of the tape

IND

This season

Points per gameWHYHOU 115.5IND 111.4
Points against per gamefewer is betterHOU 106.4IND 115.2

Rockets vs Pacers recent form

Points scored, last 5HOU 544IND 525
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterHOU 510IND 548

Rockets vs Pacers key players

WHY

Houston RocketsIndiana Pacers

9.0 Rebounds - 7.8 Assists6.7 Rebounds - 4.3 Assists
PointsHOU 21.3IND 22.2
6.3 Rebounds - 3.5 Assists2.1 Rebounds - 7.7 Assists
PointsHOU 21.0IND 17.1
6.5 Rebounds - 2.4 Assists5.0 Rebounds - 1.6 Assists
PointsHOU 17.0IND 13.4

Rockets vs Pacers injury report

WHY

Rockets vs Pacers head-to-head

WHY

Since Dec 26, 2023: Rockets 3, Pacers 3

  1. Feb 2, 2026Rockets 118-114
  2. Dec 29, 2025Rockets 126-119
  3. Mar 4, 2025Pacers 115-102
  4. Nov 20, 2024Rockets 130-113
  5. Feb 6, 2024Pacers 132-129
  6. Dec 26, 2023Pacers 123-117

Who will win Rockets vs Pacers?

The Rockets. Agatha gives Houston a 72% chance to win and predicts a 114-109 final at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis. It is Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks the Rockets

Defense decides this game: the Houston Rockets allow 106.4 points a game this season and the Pacers allow 115.2. The Rockets are 8-3 and the Pacers are 3-8. Kevin Durant adds 21.0 points a game, and the Rockets won the latest meeting 118-114 on Feb 2, 2026. Agatha predicts a 114-109 Rockets win, about a 7-in-10 chance. The risk is Clint Capela and Steven Adams, Rockets centers, are both listed as Out with leg injuries.