Canadiens vs Penguins Prediction
Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 7:00 PM ET, PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYMontrealCanadiensAGATHA'S PICK
HOMEPittsburghPenguins
AWAYMontrealCanadiensPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
0560vs
Predicted --
HOMEPittsburghPenguins50%WIN CHANCELIVE READCanadiens to WinLOST#189 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Canadiens to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 50%
Final score: Penguins 6, Canadiens 5
- SEALED ODDS
- -104Cloudbet
- CLOSING ODDS
- -106Cloudbet, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 10:09 PM ETreceipt #189
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| PIT | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Play-by-play
- [4- 1:33] Tommy Novak Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Evgeni Malkin (2), Kris Letang (3)
- [4- 0:48] Cole Caufield Wrist Shot Wide Left
- [4- 0:36] Nick Suzuki Wrist Shot Wide Right
- [4- 0:00] Phillip Danault faceoff won against Ben Kindel
- [4- 0:00] Start of Overtime
- [3- 20:00] End of 3rd Period
- [3- 19:49] Jake Evans faceoff won against Ben Kindel
- [3- 19:49] Off-side
- [3- 19:45] Giveaway by Tommy Novak
- [3- 19:38] Jake Evans Wrist Shot Above Crossbar
- [3- 19:20] Giveaway by Alex Newhook
- [3- 19:16] Jake Evans faceoff won against Tommy Novak
Leaders
- Tommy Novak (PIT): 2
- Evgeni Malkin (PIT): 2
- Tommy Novak (PIT): 3
- Cole Caufield (MTL): 2
- Nick Suzuki (MTL): 3
- Nick Suzuki (MTL): 4
Game-day injuries
- Bryan Rust (PIT) - Injured Reserve
- Justin Brazeau (PIT) - Injured Reserve
- Ryan Graves (PIT) - Injured Reserve
- Alexandre Carrier (MTL) - Day-To-Day
- Oliver Kapanen (MTL) - Out
- Bryce Pickford (MTL) - Injured Reserve
- Lucas Condotta (MTL) - Injured Reserve
- Kaiden Guhle (MTL) - Injured Reserve
MTLTale of the tape
PITCanadiens vs Penguins recent form
MTL 1-4 Canadiens: last 5 games
- W3-2TOR Sep 29 Toronto Maple Leafs, 3-2
- L1-6CAR May 29 Carolina Hurricanes, 1-6
- L0-4CAR May 27 Carolina Hurricanes, 0-4
- L2-3CAR May 25 Carolina Hurricanes, 2-3
- L2-3CAR May 23 Carolina Hurricanes, 2-3
PIT 3-2 Penguins: last 5 games
- W7-0PHI Sep 30 Philadelphia Flyers, 7-0
- L0-1PHI Apr 29 Philadelphia Flyers, 0-1
- W3-2PHI Apr 27 Philadelphia Flyers, 3-2
- W4-2PHI Apr 25 Philadelphia Flyers, 4-2
- L2-5PHI Apr 22 Philadelphia Flyers, 2-5
Goals scored, last 5MTL 8PIT 16
Goals allowed, last 5fewer is betterMTL 18PIT 10
Canadiens vs Penguins head-to-head
Since Jan 27, 2024: Penguins 6, Canadiens 2
- Dec 21, 2025Penguins 4-3
- Dec 20, 2025Canadiens 4-0
- Dec 11, 2025Canadiens 4-2
- Dec 12, 2024Penguins 9-2
- Nov 2, 2024Penguins 3-1
- Oct 14, 2024Penguins 6-3
- Feb 22, 2024Penguins 4-1
- Jan 27, 2024Penguins 3-2
Canadiens vs Penguins line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (PIT)
-1.5
Total
6.5
Moneyline
- MTL
- -115
- PIT
- -105
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (18 snapshots)
- Moneyline (PIT) at FanDuel: opened +102, now -108
- Spread (PIT) at FanDuel: opened +1.5, now +1.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 6.5, now 6.5
Agatha's pick for Canadiens vs Penguins
The Canadiens. Agatha gave Montreal a 50% chance to win at PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
TV: ESPN+