Senators vs Maple Leafs Prediction
Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 7:00 PM ET, Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYOttawaSenatorsAGATHA'S PICK
HOMETorontoMaple Leafs
AWAYOttawaSenatorsPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
0320vs
Predicted --
HOMETorontoMaple Leafs54%WIN CHANCELIVE READSenators to WinWON#187 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Senators to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 54%
Final score: Senators 3, Maple Leafs 2
- SEALED ODDS
- -101Cloudbet
- CLOSING ODDS
- -103Cloudbet, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +0.99uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 9:52 PM ETreceipt #187
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| TOR | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Play-by-play
- [3- 20:00] Game End
- [3- 20:00] End of 3rd Period
- [3- 19:58] Jack Roslovic shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
- [3- 19:29] Nick Paul faceoff won against Tim Stutzle
- [3- 19:29] Puck in Netting
- [3- 18:59] Michael Amadio shot blocked by John Tavares
- [3- 18:28] Tim Stutzle faceoff won against John Tavares
- [3- 18:28] Off-side
- [3- 18:13] Tim Stutzle faceoff won against John Tavares
- [3- 18:13] Timeout - Home
- [3- 18:13] Goalie Stopped
- [3- 18:12] Auston Matthews Wrist Shot saved by Linus Ullmark
Leaders
- Auston Matthews (TOR): 1
- William Nylander (TOR): 1
- Auston Matthews (TOR): 1
- Thomas Chabot (OTT): 1
- Claude Giroux (OTT): 2
- Thomas Chabot (OTT): 2
Game-day injuries
- Dakota Joshua (TOR) - Injured Reserve
- Max Domi (TOR) - Injured Reserve
- Cade Webber (TOR) - Injured Reserve
- Elvis Merzlikins (TOR) - Injured Reserve
- William Villeneuve (TOR) - Injured Reserve
- Jake Sanderson (OTT) - Day-To-Day
- Andre Burakovsky (OTT) - Out
- Blake Montgomery (OTT) - Injured Reserve
- Kurtis MacDermid (OTT) - Injured Reserve
- Artem Zub (OTT) - Injured Reserve
OTTTale of the tape
TORSenators vs Maple Leafs recent form
OTT 1-4 Senators: last 5 games
- L2-4CAR Apr 25 Carolina Hurricanes, 2-4
- L1-2CAR Apr 23 Carolina Hurricanes, 1-2
- L2-3CAR Apr 20 Carolina Hurricanes, 2-3
- L0-2CAR Apr 18 Carolina Hurricanes, 0-2
- W3-1TOR Apr 15 Toronto Maple Leafs, 3-1
TOR 1-4 Maple Leafs: last 5 games
- W2-1NYI Sep 30 New York Islanders, 2-1
- L2-3MTL Sep 29 Montreal Canadiens, 2-3
- L1-3OTT Apr 15 Ottawa Senators, 1-3
- L5-6DAL Apr 13 Dallas Stars, 5-6
- L2-6FLA Apr 11 Florida Panthers, 2-6
Goals scored, last 5OTT 8TOR 12
Goals allowed, last 5fewer is betterOTT 12TOR 19
Senators vs Maple Leafs head-to-head
Since Apr 24, 2025: Senators 5, Maple Leafs 3
- Apr 15, 2026Senators 3-1
- Mar 21, 2026Senators 5-2
- Feb 28, 2026Senators 5-2
- Dec 27, 2025Maple Leafs 7-5
- May 1, 2025Maple Leafs 4-2
- Apr 29, 2025Senators 4-0
- Apr 26, 2025Senators 4-3
- Apr 24, 2025Maple Leafs 3-2
Senators vs Maple Leafs line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (TOR)
-1.5
Total
5.5
Moneyline
- OTT
- -105
- TOR
- -115
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (17 snapshots)
- Moneyline (TOR) at FanDuel: opened -125, now -110
- Spread (TOR) at FanDuel: opened -1.5, now -1.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 6.5, now 6.5
Agatha's pick for Senators vs Maple Leafs
The Senators. Agatha gave Ottawa a 54% chance to win at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
TV: ESPN+