AGATHANo gut feelings

Arouca vs Nacional Prediction

Sunday, Nov 1, 2026, 10:30 AM ET

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKAroucaArouca

FINAL

0100

Predicted 3-1

NacionalNacional
57%WIN CHANCEArouca to WinWON#2384 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 57%

Agatha's pick: Arouca to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Arouca 1, Nacional 0

SEALED ODDS
-159Casumo
CLOSING ODDS
-162Casumo, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.63uat the sealed price
GRADED
12:24 PM ETreceipt #2384

The prediction, checked

Agatha predicted Arouca 3, Nacional 1. Final: Arouca 1, Nacional 0 - not exact: Arouca scored 2 fewer, Nacional 1 fewer. NOT EXACT

FCA

Tale of the tape

CDN

Arouca vs Nacional recent form

FCA 2-2-1 Arouca: last 5 matches

  1. W1-0ALV Oct 24 Alverca, 1-0
  2. W1-0EST Oct 11 Estrela, 1-0
  3. D2-2SCP Sep 19 Sporting CP, 2-2
  4. L1-2CDSC Sep 13 Santa Clara, 1-2
  5. D0-0EPF Sep 7 Estoril, 0-0

CDN 1-0-4 Nacional: last 5 matches

  1. W1-0SCB Oct 25 Braga, 1-0
  2. L2-3RAFC Oct 11 Rio Ave, 2-3
  3. L0-4FCF Sep 19 Famalicao, 0-4
  4. L1-3ALV Sep 12 Alverca, 1-3
  5. L0-2SCP Sep 5 Sporting CP, 0-2
Goals scored, last 5FCA 5CDN 4
Goals allowed, last 5fewer is betterFCA 4CDN 12

Arouca vs Nacional line movement

MONEYLINE Arouca to win at Casumo

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (FCA)

-0.75

Total

2.5

Moneyline

FCA
-177
Draw
+275
CDN
+450

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (11 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (FCA) at FanDuel: opened -125, now -175

Agatha's pick for Arouca vs Nacional

Arouca. Agatha gave Arouca a 57% chance to win and predicted a 3-1 final. It was one of Agatha's Best Primeira Liga Bets for Nov 1.

Why Agatha picked Arouca

Arouca are the lean in this match. On her scoreboard it ends CDN 1, FCA 3.

Up next

  1. Sat, Nov 28, 10:30 AM ETArouca vs Rio Ave
  2. Fri, Nov 27, 3:15 PM ETMaritimo vs Nacional