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Fever vs Aces Prediction

Thursday, Oct 1, 2026, 9:00 PM ET, Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, First Round, Game 3

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Indiana FeverAWAYIndianaFever

FINAL

083940

AGATHA'S PICKLas Vegas AcesHOMELas VegasAces
57%WIN CHANCEAces to WinWON#31 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 57%

Agatha's pick: Aces to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Aces 94, Fever 83

SEALED ODDS
-182Ladbrokes
CLOSING ODDS
-200Ladbrokes, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.55uat the sealed price
GRADED
11:33 PM ETreceipt #31

Game Center

Team1234T
IND3117171883
LV3123162494

Play-by-play

  • [4- 0.0] End of Game
  • [4- 0.0] End of the 4th Quarter
  • [4- 2.8] Brianna Turner defensive rebound
  • [4- 2.8] Brianna Turner blocks Kelsey Mitchell 's 2-foot two point shot
  • [4- 10.0] A'ja Wilson makes free throw 2 of 2
  • [4- 10.0] A'ja Wilson makes free throw 1 of 2
  • [4- 10.0] Sophie Cunningham personal foul
  • [4- 10.0] A'ja Wilson defensive rebound
  • [4- 13.0] Caitlin Clark misses 23-foot three point jumper
  • [4- 14.9] Myisha Hines-Allen enters the game for Raven Johnson
  • [4- 14.9] Fever Reset Timeout
  • [4- 14.9] Jackie Young makes free throw 2 of 2

Leaders

  • A'ja Wilson (LV): 36
  • Jackie Young (LV): 7
  • A'ja Wilson (LV): 10
  • Kelsey Mitchell (IND): 23
  • Caitlin Clark (IND): 4
  • Myisha Hines-Allen (IND): 12

Game-day injuries

  • Stephanie Talbot (LV) - Out
  • Dana Evans (LV) - Out
  • NaLyssa Smith (LV) - Out
  • Tyasha Harris (IND) - Out
IND

Tale of the tape

LV

Fever vs Aces recent form

IND 2-3 Fever: last 5 games

  1. W99-89LV Sep 29 Las Vegas Aces, 99-89
  2. L85-102LV Sep 27 Las Vegas Aces, 85-102
  3. L66-86MIN Sep 24 Minnesota Lynx, 66-86
  4. W96-77MIN Sep 22 Minnesota Lynx, 96-77
  5. L77-93WSH Sep 20 Washington Mystics, 77-93

LV 4-1 Aces: last 5 games

  1. L89-99IND Sep 29 Indiana Fever, 89-99
  2. W102-85IND Sep 27 Indiana Fever, 102-85
  3. W100-82PHX Sep 24 Phoenix Mercury, 100-82
  4. W89-79LA Sep 22 Los Angeles Sparks, 89-79
  5. W98-77SEA Sep 20 Seattle Storm, 98-77
Points scored, last 5IND 423LV 478
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterIND 447LV 422

Fever vs Aces head-to-head

Since Sep 23, 2025: Fever 4, Aces 4

  1. Sep 29, 2026Fever 99-89First Round, Game 2
  2. Sep 27, 2026Aces 102-85
  3. Jul 12, 2026Fever 109-75
  4. Jul 5, 2026Fever 84-68
  5. Sep 30, 2025Aces 107-98
  6. Sep 28, 2025Fever 90-83
  7. Sep 26, 2025Aces 84-72
  8. Sep 23, 2025Aces 90-68

Fever vs Aces line movement

MONEYLINE Aces to win at Ladbrokes

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (LV)

-5

Total

181.5

Moneyline

IND
+168
LV
-200

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (28 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (LV) at FanDuel: opened -170, now -200
  • Spread (LV) at FanDuel: opened -3.5, now -4.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 180.5, now 181.5

Agatha's pick for Fever vs Aces

The Aces. Agatha gave Las Vegas a 57% chance to win at Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas. It was one of Agatha's Best WNBA Bets for Oct 1.

TV: USA Net, CNBC