AGATHANo gut feelings

Tennis

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Berrettini

Round 1

Agatha's call

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win57%

Price 1.69 at Pinnacle

Projected sets: 2-0 (about 52% of that player's winning outcomes)

Why

Agatha rates Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1829 and Matteo Berrettini 1768 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007.

Net gap: 61 rating points toward Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, which projects to a 57 percent match win.

Most-likely scoreline: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in 2-0, about 52 percent of that player's winning outcomes.

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1.64
Matteo Berrettini
2.25

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (home): opened 1.57, now 1.57
  • Moneyline (home): opened 1.70, now 1.62