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Tabilo vs Sonego Prediction

Wednesday, Nov 11, 2026, 7:00 AM ET, Round 2

Agatha Research Desk

AGATHA'S PICKAlejandro TabiloAlejandroTabilo

PREDICTED SETS

2-0

Lorenzo SonegoLorenzoSonego
54%WIN CHANCETabilo to WinSEALS AT 6:45 AM ET

Win chance can move until the seal

Agatha's pick: Tabilo to WinTHE VERDICT
Tabilo

Tale of the tape

Sonego

Tabilo vs Sonego recent form

WHY

Tabilo 1-4 Tabilo: last 5 matches

  1. LNov 2 Nov 2 Rafael Jodar, 2-6, 3-6
  2. LOct 27 Oct 27 Rafael Jodar, 4-6, 2-6
  3. LOct 10 Oct 10 Pablo Carreno Busta, 6-4, 6-7(2), 4-6
  4. LOct 2 Oct 2 Denis Shapovalov, 5-7, 6-3, 4-6
  5. WSep 30 Sep 30 Tommy Paul, 6-1, 6-2

Sonego 4-1 Sonego: last 5 matches

  1. WNov 10 Nov 10 Quentin Halys, 6-4, 7-6(4)
  2. WNov 8 Nov 8 Inaki Montes-De La Torre, 7-5, 6-3
  3. WNov 7 Nov 7 Olle Wallin, 6-4, 7-6(6)
  4. LNov 2 Nov 2 Mattia Bellucci, 4-6, 3-6
  5. WNov 1 Nov 1 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo, 6-3, 4-6, 7-6(5)

Tabilo vs Sonego player stats

WHY
Alejandro TabiloLorenzo Sonego
ATP rankinglower is betterTabilo No. 311,525 ptsSonego No. 115511 pts
2026 recordTabilo 25-27Sonego 13-18
TitlesTabilo 36 finalsSonego 46 finals

Tabilo vs Sonego head-to-head

WHY

Since Aug 23, 2022: Tabilo 1, Sonego 1

  1. Aug 8, 2024Tabilo 6-4, 6-2National Bank Open, Round 2
  2. Aug 23, 2022Sonego 7-5, 6-1Winston-Salem Open, Round 2

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Alejandro Tabilo
+130
Lorenzo Sonego
-161

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Lorenzo Sonego) at Betano: opened -161, now -161

Who will win Tabilo vs Sonego?

Alejandro Tabilo. Agatha gives Tabilo a 54% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Tabilo

Alejandro Tabilo won the last meeting between these two, 6-4, 6-2 in Round 2 of the National Bank Open on Aug 8, 2024, on the main tour. He also beat Tommy Paul 6-1, 6-2 in Round 1 of the Japan Open Tennis Championships on Sep 30. Sonego lost to Mattia Bellucci 6-4, 6-3 in Round 1 of the Rolex Paris Masters on Nov 2, and Tabilo is ranked No. 31, Sonego No. 115. Agatha picks Tabilo to win, a little better than a coin flip, and predicts straight sets. The risk is Tabilo has lost four matches in a row and Sonego has won three in a row.