AGATHANo gut feelings

Lions vs Stampeders Prediction

Saturday, Oct 17, 2026, 7:00 PM ET, Week 20

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

BC LionsBCLions10-6

FINAL

1332

AGATHA'S PICKCalgary StampedersCalgaryStampeders8-9
50%WIN CHANCEStampeders to WinWON#1234 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 50%

Agatha's pick: Stampeders to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Stampeders 32, Lions 13

SEALED ODDS
-135DraftKings
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.74uat the sealed price
GRADED
9:49 PM ETreceipt #1234
BC

Tale of the tape

CGY

This season

Points per gameWHYBC 30.8CGY 35.3
Points against per gamefewer is betterBC 26.1CGY 33.8

Lions vs Stampeders recent form

WHY

BC 4-1 Lions: last 5 games

  1. W41-20OTT Oct 9 Ottawa RedBlacks, 41-20
  2. W24-17TOR Oct 3 Toronto Argonauts, 24-17
  3. W31-24SSK Sep 25 Saskatchewan Roughriders, 31-24
  4. W48-29MTL Sep 12 Montreal Alouettes, 48-29
  5. L30-37MTL Sep 4 Montreal Alouettes, 30-37

CGY 3-2 Stampeders: last 5 games

  1. L28-33WPG Oct 10 Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 28-33
  2. W37-31SSK Oct 2 Saskatchewan Roughriders, 37-31
  3. W45-31OTT Sep 26 Ottawa RedBlacks, 45-31
  4. W40-38OTT Sep 19 Ottawa RedBlacks, 40-38
  5. L16-53EDM Sep 12 Edmonton Elks, 16-53
Points scored, last 5BC 174CGY 166
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterBC 127CGY 186

Lions vs Stampeders head-to-head

WHY

Since Jun 15, 2024: Lions 6, Stampeders 2

  1. Aug 13, 2026Lions 30-26
  2. Jun 27, 2026Stampeders 41-33
  3. Nov 1, 2025Lions 33-30
  4. Oct 4, 2025Lions 38-24
  5. Sep 19, 2025Lions 52-23
  6. Oct 4, 2024Lions 32-15
  7. Jul 21, 2024Stampeders 25-24
  8. Jun 15, 2024Lions 26-17

Lions vs Stampeders line movement

MONEYLINE Stampeders to win at DraftKings

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (CGY)

-1.5

Total

61.5

Moneyline

BC
+115
CGY
-135

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (12 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (CGY) at FanDuel: opened +114, now -138
  • Spread (CGY) at FanDuel: opened +2.5, now -1.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 65.5, now 62.5

Agatha's pick for Lions vs Stampeders

The Stampeders. Agatha gave Calgary a 50% chance to win. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picked the Stampeders

The Stampeders score 35.3 points a game to the Lions' 30.8 this season. They beat the Saskatchewan Roughriders 37-31 on Oct 2 and the Ottawa RedBlacks 45-31 on Sep 26. The game is at McMahon Stadium, Calgary, the Stampeders' home ground. Agatha predicts a 29-28 Stampeders win, a coin flip. The risk is the Lions won five of the six meetings since Oct 4, 2024, including the latest 30-26 on Aug 13, 2026.

Best Bets on this game

  1. cflFINAL
    BC Lions at Calgary Stampeders - 7:00 PM ET
    70%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-115DraftKings
  2. cflFINAL
    BC Lions at Calgary Stampeders - 7:00 PM ET
    69%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-115DraftKings
  3. cflFINAL
    BC Lions at Calgary Stampeders - 7:00 PM ET
    64%
    LOSTLEAN1U
    LOST
    SEALED ODDS-115DraftKings
  4. cflFINAL
    BC Lions at Calgary Stampeders - 7:00 PM ET
    64%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-115DraftKings

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 15, 6:00 PM ETMontreal Alouettes vs Edmonton ElksAgatha's call: Montreal Alouettes to win, 58%