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Roughriders vs Alouettes Prediction

Monday, Oct 12, 2026, 12:50 PM ET, Week 19

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Saskatchewan RoughridersSaskatchewanRoughriders8-7

FINAL

2444

AGATHA'S PICKMontreal AlouettesMontrealAlouettes12-3
70%WIN CHANCEAlouettes to WinWON#878 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 70%

Agatha's pick: Alouettes to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Alouettes 44, Roughriders 24

SEALED ODDS
-250Unibet
CLOSING ODDS
-294Unibet, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.40uat the sealed price
GRADED
3:55 PM ETreceipt #878
SSK

Tale of the tape

MTL

This season

Points per gameSSK 28.7MTL 35.7
Points against per gamefewer is betterSSK 27.2MTL 28.0

Roughriders vs Alouettes recent form

SSK 2-3 Roughriders: last 5 games

  1. L31-37CGY Oct 2 Calgary Stampeders, 31-37
  2. L24-31BC Sep 25 BC Lions, 24-31
  3. L6-19WPG Sep 12 Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 6-19
  4. W32-26WPG Sep 6 Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 32-26
  5. W28-24TOR Aug 29 Toronto Argonauts, 28-24

MTL 3-2 Alouettes: last 5 games

  1. W37-10WPG Oct 3 Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 37-10
  2. W37-25HAM Sep 18 Hamilton Tiger-Cats, 37-25
  3. L29-48BC Sep 12 BC Lions, 29-48
  4. W37-30BC Sep 4 BC Lions, 37-30
  5. L28-44WPG Aug 28 Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 28-44
Points scored, last 5SSK 121MTL 168
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterSSK 137MTL 157

Roughriders vs Alouettes head-to-head

Since Jul 25, 2024: Alouettes 3, Roughriders 2

  1. Nov 16, 2025Roughriders 25-17
  2. Sep 13, 2025Alouettes 48-31
  3. Aug 2, 2025Roughriders 34-6
  4. Aug 16, 2024Alouettes 27-24
  5. Jul 25, 2024Alouettes 20-16

Roughriders vs Alouettes line movement

MONEYLINE Alouettes to win at Unibet

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (MTL)

-6.5

Total

59.5

Moneyline

SSK
+280
MTL
-360

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (10 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (MTL) at FanDuel: opened -250, now -360
  • Spread (MTL) at FanDuel: opened -5.5, now -6.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 57.5, now 58.5

Agatha's pick for Roughriders vs Alouettes

The Alouettes. Agatha gave Montreal a 70% chance to win. It was one of Agatha's Best CFL Bets for Oct 12.

Best Bets on this game

  1. cflFINAL
    Kian Schaffer-Baker Under 86.5 receiving yards
    Saskatchewan Roughriders at Montreal Alouettes - 1:00 PM ET
    74%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-115FanDuel
  2. cflFINAL
    Jerreth Sterns Over 37.5 receiving yards
    Saskatchewan Roughriders at Montreal Alouettes - 1:00 PM ET
    63%
    WONLEAN1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-113FanDuel

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 15, 6:00 PM ETMontreal Alouettes vs Edmonton ElksAgatha's call: Montreal Alouettes to win, 58%