Agathano gut feelings Record

AGATHANo gut feelings

Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction

Wednesday, Nov 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ET, American Airlines Center, Dallas

Agatha Research Desk

Golden State Warriors

AWAYGolden StateWarriors8-3

PREDICTED SCORE

114116

Mavericks win by 2

Dallas Mavericks

HOMEDallasMavericks7-4

59%WIN CHANCEMavericks to WinSEALS AT 9:15 PM ET

Win chance can move until the seal

Agatha's pick: Mavericks to WinTHE VERDICT

GS

Tale of the tape

DAL

This season

Points per gameGS 120.4DAL 114.9

Points against per gamefewer is betterGS 111.2DAL 110.3

Warriors vs Mavericks recent form

GS 5-0 Warriors: last 5 games

DAL 3-2 Mavericks: last 5 games

Points scored, last 5GS 624DAL 578

Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterGS 531DAL 542

Warriors vs Mavericks key players

Golden State WarriorsDallas Mavericks

Stephen CurryGCooper FlaggF

4.1 Rebounds - 4.3 Assists6.9 Rebounds - 6.9 Assists

PointsGS 30.6DAL 25.9

Yaxel LendeborgFKyrie IrvingG

7.2 Rebounds - 4.0 Assists3.2 Rebounds - 4.3 Assists

PointsGS 21.4DAL 22.9

Brandin PodziemskiGP.J. WashingtonF

5.0 Rebounds - 4.2 Assists7.6 Rebounds - 1.2 Assists

PointsGS 16.8DAL 14.6

Warriors vs Mavericks injury report

Golden State Warriors

Gary Payton IINEWOutLegReported Nov 10
Will RichardNEWOutArmReported Nov 10
Brandon WilliamsNEWOutLegReported Nov 10
Kristaps PorzingisOutOtherReported Nov 6
Moses MoodyOutLegReported Oct 16
Jimmy Butler IIIOutLegReported Oct 16

Dallas Mavericks

Sergio de LarreaOutLegReported Nov 5
Tarik BiberovicOutLegReported Nov 1
Dereck Lively IIOutLegReported Nov 1
Morez Johnson Jr.NEWDay-To-DayLegReported Nov 9

Warriors vs Mavericks head-to-head

Since Apr 5, 2024: Warriors 4, Mavericks 4

Mar 23, 2026Warriors 137-131
Jan 22, 2026Mavericks 123-115
Dec 25, 2025Warriors 126-116
Feb 23, 2025Warriors 126-102
Feb 12, 2025Mavericks 111-107
Dec 15, 2024Mavericks 143-133
Nov 12, 2024Warriors 120-117
Apr 5, 2024Mavericks 108-106

Warriors vs Mavericks betting trends

Against the spread, this seasonGS 8-3DAL 7-4

Against the spread, last 10GS 8-2DAL 7-3

Over/under, this seasonGS 6-5DAL 3-8

Over/under, last 10GS 6-4DAL 2-8

Trends describe the past. They are not predictions and carry no edge - Agatha's pick is made independently.

Records against the line most North American sportsbooks closed at: win-loss against the spread, over-under on the total, a push third.

Who will win Warriors vs Mavericks?

The Mavericks. Agatha gives Dallas a 59% chance to win and predicts a 116-114 final at American Airlines Center, Dallas. It is Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks the Mavericks

The Mavericks beat the Indiana Pacers 125-122 at home on Nov 9. The Mavericks have won three games in a row. Brandon Williams, a guard for the Warriors, is listed as Out (injury: leg). The Warriors are 8-3 this season, 6-1 at home and 2-2 on the road. Agatha predicts a 116-114 Mavericks win, about a 6-in-10 chance. The risk: the Warriors won the latest meeting, 137-131, on Mar 23, 2026.

TV: ESPN