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Troy vs Valparaiso Prediction

Saturday, Nov 21, 2026, 8:00 PM ET, Pensacola Bay Center, Pensacola, Pensacola Invitational

Agatha Research Desk

Troy TrojansTroy

PREDICTED SCORE

072730

Valparaiso win by 1

AGATHA'S CALLValparaiso BeaconsValparaiso
54%WIN CHANCEValparaiso to Win
Agatha's call: Valparaiso to WinTHE VERDICT
TROY

Tale of the tape

VAL

College Basketball Power Rankings

Rating: the points a team would beat an average Division I team by on a neutral floor.

RankTROY 165VAL 139
RatingTROY -0.1VAL +1.4

Through games of Thursday, November 12, 2026.

Troy vs Valparaiso recent form

TROY 1-2 Troy: last 3 games

  1. W74-69v LMU Nov 10 vs Loyola Marymount Lions, 74-69
  2. L68-91@ FSU Nov 6 at Florida State Seminoles, 68-91
  3. L60-71v MASS Nov 2 vs Massachusetts Minutemen, 60-71

VAL 2-1 Valparaiso: last 3 games

  1. L69-81@ SDST Nov 11 at South Dakota State Jackrabbits, 69-81
  2. W83-80@ PUR Nov 6 at Purdue Boilermakers, 83-80
  3. W80-58v WIU Nov 2 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks, 80-58
Points scored, last 3TROY 202VAL 232
Points allowed, last 3fewer is betterTROY 231VAL 219

Who will win Troy vs Valparaiso?

Valparaiso. Agatha gives Valparaiso a 54% chance to win and predicts a 73-72 final at Pensacola Bay Center, Pensacola. It is Agatha's call for this game.

Streaming: YouTube