AGATHANo gut feelings

College Basketball Power Rankings

Every Division I men's team, ranked from 1 to 364 by Agatha's power rating: the points a team would beat an average Division I team by on a neutral floor.

One team new to Division I is listed last, without a rank, until it has played 8 Division I games.

RankTeamRecordRating
1Michigan Wolverines1-0+21.3
2Duke Blue Devils1-0+20.4
3Florida Gators1-0+20.1
4Illinois Fighting Illini1-0+19.4
5Arizona Wildcats0-1+19.3
6Houston Cougars1-0+19.3
7Iowa State Cyclones0-1+16.9
8UConn Huskies1-0+16.1
9Michigan State Spartans1-0+15.7
10Purdue Boilermakers0-1+15.6
11Alabama Crimson Tide0-0+15.4
12Gonzaga Bulldogs1-0+15.3
13St. John's Red Storm1-0+15.1
14Vanderbilt Commodores1-0+14.8
15Tennessee Volunteers0-0+13.9
16Nebraska Cornhuskers1-0+13.4
17Arkansas Razorbacks0-0+13.2
18Texas Tech Red Raiders1-0+12.9
19Wisconsin Badgers1-0+12.3
20Louisville Cardinals1-0+12.2
21Kansas Jayhawks1-0+12.2
22UCLA Bruins1-0+12.1
23Virginia Cavaliers0-0+11.8
24Utah State Aggies1-0+11.6
25Texas Longhorns1-0+11.6
26Saint Mary's Gaels1-0+11.4
27BYU Cougars1-0+11.4
28Iowa Hawkeyes0-0+11.1
29Kentucky Wildcats0-0+11.1
30Ohio State Buckeyes0-1+10.9
31Santa Clara Broncos1-0+10.7
32New Mexico Lobos1-0+10.6
33Cincinnati Bearcats1-0+10.3
34Auburn Tigers0-0+10.2
35North Carolina Tar Heels1-0+10.1
36South Florida Bulls1-0+10.1
37Saint Louis Billikens1-0+9.7
38Texas A&M Aggies0-0+9.6
39TCU Horned Frogs1-0+9.4
40Miami Hurricanes0-1+9.1
41Clemson Tigers1-0+9.1
42Baylor Bears1-0+8.8
43Oklahoma Sooners0-1+8.8
44VCU Rams1-0+8.7
45West Virginia Mountaineers1-0+8.7
46Georgia Bulldogs1-0+8.6
47Villanova Wildcats0-0+8.5
48San Diego State Aztecs0-0+8.3
49Indiana Hoosiers1-0+8.3
50Ole Miss Rebels1-0+8.2
51Florida State Seminoles1-0+7.9
52NC State Wolfpack1-0+7.9
53Missouri Tigers0-0+7.7
54Marquette Golden Eagles1-0+7.6
55Seton Hall Pirates1-0+7.5
56Grand Canyon Lopes1-0+7.4
57SMU Mustangs1-0+7.4
58Dayton Flyers1-0+7.3
59High Point Panthers0-0+7.1
60Nevada Wolf Pack1-0+7.1
61McNeese Cowboys1-0+7.1
62Akron Zips1-0+7.0
63Northwestern Wildcats1-0+6.9
64Washington Huskies1-0+6.8
65Wichita State Shockers0-0+6.8
66Boise State Broncos0-0+6.8
67Belmont Bruins1-0+6.6
68Northern Iowa Panthers0-0+6.5
69Tulsa Golden Hurricane1-0+6.2
70Yale Bulldogs1-0+6.2
71George Washington Revolutionaries1-0+6.0
72Providence Friars1-0+6.0
73UCF Knights1-0+5.9
74Georgetown Hoyas1-0+5.9
75Colorado Buffaloes1-0+5.8
76Minnesota Golden Gophers1-0+5.6
77Stanford Cardinal1-0+5.5
78Virginia Tech Hokies0-0+5.5
79Xavier Musketeers1-0+5.4
80Hofstra Pride1-0+5.1
81Miami (OH) RedHawks1-0+5.0
82Butler Bulldogs1-0+4.9
83Oregon Ducks1-0+4.8
84Wake Forest Demon Deacons1-0+4.8
85Pittsburgh Panthers1-0+4.8
86USC Trojans1-0+4.7
87Arizona State Sun Devils1-0+4.7
88Illinois State Redbirds0-1+4.7
89Colorado State Rams1-0+4.6
90Creighton Bluejays1-0+4.5
91LSU Tigers0-0+4.4
92George Mason Patriots1-0+4.4
93Saint Joseph's Hawks0-0+4.3
94California Golden Bears1-0+4.3
95Oklahoma State Cowboys1-0+4.3
96St. Thomas Tommies1-0+4.2
97North Dakota State Bison1-0+4.0
98UC Irvine Anteaters0-0+4.0
99UNLV Rebels0-0+3.9
100UIC Flames1-0+3.8
101Maryland Terrapins1-0+3.8
102Utah Valley Wolverines1-0+3.7
103Mississippi State Bulldogs1-0+3.3
104California Baptist Lancers0-0+3.1
105Davidson Wildcats1-0+3.1
106Bradley Braves1-0+3.1
107UNC Wilmington Seahawks1-0+3.1
108DePaul Blue Demons1-0+3.0
109Syracuse Orange1-0+2.8
110Southern Illinois Salukis1-0+2.8
111Kansas State Wildcats0-0+2.7
112South Carolina Gamecocks0-0+2.7
113Rutgers Scarlet Knights0-0+2.5
114Liberty Flames0-0+2.5
115Seattle U Redhawks0-1+2.5
116San Francisco Dons1-0+2.4
117Arkansas State Red Wolves1-0+2.3
118Wyoming Cowboys0-0+2.3
119Memphis Tigers1-0+2.3
120Cornell Big Red1-0+2.3
121Murray State Racers1-0+2.2
122UC San Diego Tritons1-0+2.2
123Sam Houston Bearkats0-0+2.1
124Toledo Rockets0-1+2.0
125North Texas Mean Green1-0+2.0
126Duquesne Dukes0-0+2.0
127Florida Atlantic Owls1-0+2.0
128Harvard Crimson1-0+1.9
129UAB Blazers0-1+1.8
130Wright State Raiders1-0+1.8
131Kennesaw State Owls1-0+1.7
132Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks1-0+1.6
133Oregon State Beavers1-0+1.6
134Notre Dame Fighting Irish0-0+1.6
135Penn State Nittany Lions1-0+1.5
136Towson Tigers0-1+1.4
137Furman Paladins1-0+1.4
138Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors1-0+1.4
139Northern Colorado Bears1-0+1.2
140East Tennessee State Buccaneers0-1+1.2
141Charleston Cougars1-0+1.2
142Temple Owls1-0+1.1
143Western Kentucky Hilltoppers1-0+1.0
144Utah Utes1-0+1.0
145Pacific Tigers0-0+1.0
146Howard Bison0-1+0.9
147Valparaiso Beacons1-0+0.8
148Louisiana Tech Bulldogs1-0+0.8
149UMBC Retrievers0-1+0.8
150St. Bonaventure Bonnies0-1+0.8
151Merrimack Warriors0-1+0.7
152Siena Saints0-1+0.7
153App State Mountaineers1-0+0.7
154Central Arkansas Bears1-0+0.6
155Richmond Spiders1-0+0.6
156UC Santa Barbara Gauchos1-0+0.6
157Pennsylvania Quakers0-0+0.5
158Samford Bulldogs1-0+0.5
159Drake Bulldogs0-0+0.5
160Troy Trojans0-1+0.5
161Monmouth Hawks0-1+0.4
162UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros1-0+0.4
163Kent State Golden Flashes0-1+0.4
164Navy Midshipmen0-1+0.4
165Winthrop Eagles0-1+0.3
166Rhode Island Rams0-0+0.3
167Robert Morris Colonials0-1+0.1
168Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders1-0+0.1
169Idaho Vandals1-0+0.1
170Fordham Rams0-1+0.1
171Jacksonville State Gamecocks1-0+0.1
172Montana State Bobcats0-1+0.1
173Boston College Eagles0-00.0
174Fresno State Bulldogs1-0-0.1
175Portland State Vikings0-0-0.3
176Oakland Golden Grizzlies0-1-0.3
177Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets0-0-0.3
178Mercer Bears1-0-0.4
179William & Mary Tribe1-0-0.4
180Bowling Green Falcons1-0-0.4
181Cal State Northridge Matadors0-0-0.5
182Northern Kentucky Norse1-0-0.5
183New Mexico State Aggies0-0-0.6
184Marshall Thundering Herd1-0-0.6
185Charlotte 49ers1-0-0.6
186South Alabama Jaguars0-1-0.7
187Washington State Cougars0-1-0.7
188Queens University Royals1-0-0.7
189Eastern Washington Eagles0-1-0.8
190Austin Peay Governors1-0-0.8
191James Madison Dukes0-1-0.8
192Campbell Fighting Camels0-1-0.8
193Missouri State Bears0-0-0.9
194Massachusetts Minutemen1-0-0.9
195Western Carolina Catamounts0-1-1.0
196Indiana State Sycamores0-1-1.1
197Marist Red Foxes0-1-1.1
198Loyola Marymount Lions0-0-1.2
199UT Arlington Mavericks1-0-1.2
200Tennessee State Tigers0-1-1.2
201Vermont Catamounts0-1-1.3
202South Dakota State Jackrabbits0-0-1.4
203Georgia Southern Eagles1-0-1.4
204Youngstown State Penguins1-0-1.5
205Florida International Panthers1-0-1.5
206Texas State Bobcats1-0-1.6
207Wofford Terriers0-0-1.6
208Drexel Dragons0-0-1.7
209Cal Poly Mustangs1-0-1.7
210Southern Miss Golden Eagles1-0-1.8
211Southeast Missouri State Redhawks1-0-1.8
212Lipscomb Bisons0-1-2.0
213Loyola Chicago Ramblers1-0-2.1
214Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders0-1-2.1
215UC Davis Aggies0-1-2.1
216Quinnipiac Bobcats0-1-2.1
217Princeton Tigers1-0-2.4
218Tulane Green Wave1-0-2.4
219Boston University Terriers1-0-2.4
220Radford Highlanders0-1-2.5
221Rice Owls1-0-2.6
222Chattanooga Mocs0-1-2.6
223Columbia Lions0-1-2.6
224Florida Gulf Coast Eagles0-1-2.6
225Cal State Fullerton Titans0-0-2.6
226Longwood Lancers1-0-2.7
227Ohio Bobcats1-0-2.7
228Fairfield Stags0-0-2.7
229Omaha Mavericks1-0-2.7
230San Jose State Spartans1-0-2.7
231Long Island University Sharks0-1-2.8
232Denver Pioneers0-1-2.8
233East Carolina Pirates1-0-2.8
234Old Dominion Monarchs1-0-2.8
235Elon Phoenix1-0-2.9
236Montana Grizzlies0-1-2.9
237SIU Edwardsville Cougars1-0-2.9
238Iona Gaels1-0-2.9
239UT Martin Skyhawks0-1-3.0
240Detroit Mercy Titans0-0-3.0
241Green Bay Phoenix1-0-3.0
242Saint Peter's Peacocks0-1-3.2
243Dartmouth Big Green1-0-3.3
244Colgate Raiders0-1-3.5
245Presbyterian Blue Hose0-1-3.6
246UTEP Miners0-1-3.7
247Stony Brook Seawolves1-0-3.7
248UNC Greensboro Spartans0-0-3.9
249American University Eagles0-1-4.0
250Utah Tech Trailblazers0-1-4.0
251LSU New Orleans Privateers0-0-4.0
252Central Michigan Chippewas1-0-4.0
253Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons0-0-4.0
254Portland Pilots1-0-4.1
255Charleston Southern Buccaneers0-1-4.1
256UNC Asheville Bulldogs0-1-4.1
257Coastal Carolina Chanticleers0-1-4.2
258Long Beach State Beach0-1-4.2
259La Salle Explorers0-1-4.2
260Buffalo Bulls0-1-4.3
261Delaware Blue Hens1-0-4.4
262Eastern Michigan Eagles1-0-4.4
263Sacred Heart Pioneers1-0-4.4
264Weber State Wildcats0-1-4.5
265Brown Bears0-1-4.5
266Tarleton State Texans1-0-4.6
267Ball State Cardinals0-1-4.6
268UC Riverside Highlanders1-0-4.7
269Nicholls Colonels1-0-4.7
270San Diego Toreros1-0-4.7
271Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers0-1-4.8
272Lamar Cardinals1-0-4.9
273Hampton Pirates0-0-4.9
274South Dakota Coyotes1-0-5.1
275Lehigh Mountain Hawks0-1-5.1
276North Dakota Fighting Hawks0-1-5.1
277Pepperdine Waves0-1-5.2
278Central Connecticut Blue Devils0-1-5.4
279Southern Utah Thunderbirds1-0-5.4
280Milwaukee Panthers0-1-5.4
281UMass Lowell River Hawks1-0-5.5
282Northeastern Huskies0-1-5.5
283UAlbany Great Danes1-0-5.5
284Little Rock Trojans0-1-5.6
285Western Michigan Broncos0-1-5.7
286Bethune-Cookman Wildcats0-1-5.8
287Mercyhurst Lakers0-1-5.8
288Jacksonville Dolphins1-0-5.8
289Abilene Christian Wildcats0-1-5.8
290Wagner Seahawks0-0-5.8
291Morehead State Eagles0-1-6.0
292Idaho State Bengals0-1-6.1
293Norfolk State Spartans1-0-6.1
294Eastern Kentucky Colonels1-0-6.2
295New Haven Chargers0-1-6.2
296Northwestern State Demons0-1-6.3
297Lindenwood Lions0-1-6.3
298Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns0-1-6.4
299North Carolina A&T Aggies0-0-6.4
300Southern Jaguars0-1-6.4
301SE Louisiana Lions0-0-6.4
302Georgia State Panthers0-1-6.5
303Incarnate Word Cardinals0-1-6.6
304Bellarmine Knights0-1-6.7
305West Georgia Wolves0-1-6.8
306Sacramento State Hornets1-0-6.9
307Loyola Maryland Greyhounds0-1-7.1
308Evansville Purple Aces1-0-7.1
309Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles0-1-7.1
310Stetson Hatters0-1-7.1
311East Texas A&M Lions1-0-7.3
312South Carolina Upstate Spartans0-1-7.3
313Houston Christian Huskies0-0-7.4
314Stonehill Skyhawks1-0-7.4
315Manhattan Jaspers0-0-7.5
316Oral Roberts Golden Eagles0-1-7.5
317Cleveland State Vikings0-0-7.5
318Le Moyne Dolphins0-1-7.6
319North Alabama Lions1-0-7.7
320Prairie View A&M Panthers1-0-7.8
321Holy Cross Crusaders0-0-8.1
322Grambling Tigers1-0-8.2
323Bryant Bulldogs1-0-8.3
324Texas Southern Tigers0-1-8.3
325IU Indianapolis Jaguars1-0-8.3
326Northern Arizona Lumberjacks0-0-8.4
327Eastern Illinois Panthers0-1-8.5
328Maine Black Bears0-1-8.6
329Lafayette Leopards0-1-8.7
330Alabama State Hornets0-0-9.0
331NJIT Highlanders0-1-9.1
332Bucknell Bison0-1-9.1
333Niagara Purple Eagles0-1-9.2
334Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles0-1-9.4
335UTSA Roadrunners0-1-9.4
336Florida A&M Rattlers0-1-9.4
337Army Black Knights0-1-9.5
338New Hampshire Wildcats1-0-9.6
339Alabama A&M Bulldogs1-0-9.6
340North Carolina Central Eagles0-1-9.7
341Fairleigh Dickinson Knights0-1-10.0
342North Florida Ospreys0-0-10.0
343The Citadel Bulldogs0-1-10.0
344South Carolina State Bulldogs1-0-10.2
345Binghamton Bearcats0-1-10.4
346Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners0-0-10.4
347Morgan State Bears1-0-10.6
348Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions0-0-10.9
349Canisius Golden Griffins0-1-11.0
350Northern Illinois Huskies0-1-11.2
351Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks0-1-11.4
352Chicago State Cougars0-1-11.4
353UL Monroe Warhawks0-1-11.5
354Rider Broncs0-1-11.5
355Jackson State Tigers0-1-12.3
356VMI Keydets1-0-12.6
357Delaware State Hornets1-0-12.8
358Air Force Falcons0-1-13.2
359Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs0-1-13.2
360Kansas City Roos0-1-13.5
361Coppin State Eagles0-0-14.0
362Alcorn State Braves0-1-14.1
363Western Illinois Leathernecks0-1-15.3
364Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils0-0-20.8
-West Florida Argonauts1-0new

How the rating works

Each team's rating is the number of points Agatha expects it to beat an average Division I team by on a neutral floor. It is built from its scoring and its defense in every game between Division I teams since 2002-03: 127,113 games.

Each game moves both teams by how far their points scored and allowed land from what their ratings expected, once home court is allowed for. Each new season starts from the last one, pulled 15 percent back toward average, so newer games count more. Before a season's games, a rating knows past seasons alone: nothing of transfers or freshmen.

A team that has played fewer than 8 Division I games is listed as new. The table is updated every morning.

Also from Agatha: College football power rankings