AGATHANo gut feelings

College Football Power Rankings

Every FBS team, ranked from 1 to 138 by Agatha's power rating: the points a team would beat an average FBS team by on a neutral field.

RankTeamRecordRating
1Indiana8-1+20.7
2Miami8-0+19.1
3Georgia7-1+18.3
4Ohio State6-2+17.1
5Utah8-0+16.6
6Notre Dame7-1+16.3
7Texas6-2+15.1
8Ole Miss6-2+14.9
9BYU7-1+12.9
10Alabama6-2+12.9
11LSU6-2+12.8
12Oregon5-3+12.6
13Texas Tech7-1+12.5
14Iowa6-2+12.2
15Boise State7-1+11.7
16USC7-2+11.2
17Wake Forest7-1+10.9
18Tennessee6-2+10.7
19Arizona6-2+10.0
20Missouri6-2+9.9
21James Madison7-2+9.8
22UTSA7-1+9.7
23UCLA8-0+9.3
24Louisville5-3+9.2
25Kentucky7-1+9.1
26Duke6-2+9.0
27SMU6-2+8.7
28Houston6-2+8.4
29Washington5-3+7.9
30South Carolina5-3+7.6
31Michigan5-3+7.6
32North Texas6-2+6.8
33Northwestern6-2+6.5
34New Mexico7-1+6.2
35Memphis7-2+5.6
36Baylor5-3+4.9
37Illinois5-3+4.7
38Clemson5-3+4.6
39Penn State4-4+4.5
40Oklahoma4-4+4.3
41South Florida6-2+4.3
42Nebraska5-3+4.2
43Wisconsin5-3+3.8
44TCU4-4+3.8
45Liberty7-1+3.7
46Fresno State5-3+3.7
47Texas A&M4-4+3.4
48Ohio6-2+3.2
49Toledo6-2+3.0
50Pittsburgh6-3+2.9
51North Dakota State7-2+2.9
52Western Michigan6-3+2.7
53Virginia Tech6-2+2.7
54Texas State4-4+2.7
55Cincinnati5-3+2.6
56Florida5-3+2.5
57Minnesota5-3+2.4
58Louisiana Tech6-2+2.3
59Iowa State4-4+2.3
60Tulane4-4+2.1
61Jacksonville State6-2+2.0
62UNLV5-3+1.9
63Army5-3+1.8
64Arizona State4-4+1.8
65NC State4-4+1.2
66Auburn4-4+1.1
67Air Force6-2+0.6
68Georgia Southern4-4+0.3
69West Virginia5-3+0.1
70Vanderbilt3-50.0
71Kansas State4-4-0.1
72Marshall5-3-0.1
73Mississippi State4-4-0.2
74Oregon State5-3-0.4
75Louisiana5-3-0.5
76North Carolina4-4-0.7
77Virginia4-5-1.1
78East Carolina4-4-1.3
79UConn4-4-1.7
80Oklahoma State5-3-1.9
81Boston College4-4-2.1
82Navy2-6-2.3
83Arkansas3-5-2.6
84Stanford4-5-2.9
85Florida State3-5-3.0
86Delaware4-4-3.3
87Arkansas State4-4-3.3
88Wyoming5-3-3.5
89Miami (OH)5-3-3.6
90Buffalo5-3-3.6
91UCF4-4-3.8
92Utah State3-5-4.0
93Kansas3-5-4.4
94Florida Atlantic5-3-4.8
95Purdue3-5-4.8
96App State5-3-5.4
97San Diego State4-5-5.6
98UAB4-4-5.7
99Syracuse4-4-5.7
100South Alabama4-4-5.9
101Troy4-4-5.9
102Rutgers2-6-6.1
103Michigan State2-6-6.3
104Nevada3-5-6.4
105Central Michigan3-5-6.9
106Kennesaw State2-6-7.0
107Coastal Carolina3-5-7.1
108Georgia Tech2-6-7.1
109Florida International3-5-7.2
110Tulsa4-4-7.3
111Western Kentucky3-5-7.5
112Colorado3-5-7.8
113Hawai'i2-6-7.8
114California3-6-7.9
115Old Dominion2-7-8.6
116Washington State1-8-8.7
117Eastern Michigan4-5-8.9
118Georgia State4-4-8.9
119Southern Miss3-5-9.2
120Maryland2-6-9.6
121Missouri State3-5-10.0
122San Jose State4-5-10.3
123Temple2-6-10.6
124Colorado State3-5-10.8
125New Mexico State3-5-11.1
126Bowling Green2-7-12.0
127Middle Tennessee4-4-12.1
128Ball State3-5-12.7
129Kent State3-6-12.7
130Rice1-7-13.8
131Charlotte1-7-15.1
132Massachusetts4-4-15.4
133Akron1-7-16.2
134UL Monroe1-7-17.8
135Sacramento State2-7-18.0
136Sam Houston1-7-18.1
137Northern Illinois0-8-18.6
138UTEP1-7-18.6

How the rating works

Each team's rating is the number of points Agatha expects it to beat an average FBS team by on a neutral field. It is built from every final score since 2004, FBS and FCS: 26,500 games.

Each game moves both teams by how far its final margin lands from what their ratings expected, once home field is allowed for. Newer games count more: every result moves a rating, and older ones fade. Each season starts from the one before, pulled part of the way back toward the average of the team's division.

Every FBS and FCS team is rated, and this page shows every FBS team. The rating itself is a neutral-field number: home field, rest and the starting quarterback are left out, and Agatha adds them when she predicts a game. The table is updated every Sunday morning, after the last Saturday game.

Also from Agatha: College basketball power rankings