Alabama vs Mississippi State Prediction
Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, Week 5
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYAlabamaAGATHA'S PICK
HOMEMississippi State
AWAYAlabamaPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
5623vs
Predicted --
HOMEMississippi State68%WIN CHANCELIVE READAlabama to WinWON#124 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Alabama to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 68%
Final score: Alabama 56, Mississippi State 23
- SEALED ODDS
- -203Pinnacle
- CLOSING ODDS
- Same as sealedat the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +0.49uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 3:33 PM ETreceipt #124
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 56 |
| Mississippi State | 7 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 23 |
Leaders
- Kamario Taylor (MSST): 19/34, 258 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
- Kolin Wilson (MSST): 10 CAR, 27 YDS
- Anthony Evans III (MSST): 12 REC, 166 YDS, 2 TD
- Keelon Russell (ALA): 16/22, 285 YDS, 3 TD
- Trae'shawn Brown (ALA): 14 CAR, 66 YDS, 2 TD
- Lotzeir Brooks (ALA): 4 REC, 96 YDS
AlabamaTale of the tape
Mississippi StateAlabama vs Mississippi State recent form
Alabama 4-1 Alabama: last 5 games
- W49-18 Sep 26 South Carolina, 49-18
- W50-36 Sep 19 Florida State, 50-36
- W45-17 Sep 12 Kentucky, 45-17
- W48-10 Sep 5 East Carolina, 48-10
- L3-38 Jan 1 Indiana, 3-38
Mississippi State 4-1 Mississippi State: last 5 games
- W31-24 Sep 26 Missouri, 31-24
- W41-34 Sep 19 South Carolina, 41-34
- W38-13 Sep 12 Minnesota, 38-13
- W62-13 Sep 5 UL Monroe, 62-13
- L29-43 Jan 2 Wake Forest, 29-43
Points scored, last 5Alabama 195Mississippi State 201
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterAlabama 119Mississippi State 127
Alabama vs Mississippi State head-to-head
Since Sep 30, 2023: Alabama 1, Mississippi State 0
- Sep 30, 2023Alabama 40-17
Alabama vs Mississippi State line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Mississippi State)
+5.5
Total
63
Moneyline
- Alabama
- -210
- Mississippi State
- +175
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (45 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Mississippi State) at FanDuel: opened +112, now +176
- Spread (Mississippi State) at FanDuel: opened +2.5, now +5.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 61.5, now 63.5
Agatha's pick for Alabama vs Mississippi State
Alabama. Agatha gave Alabama a 68% chance to win at Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 3.
TV: ABC