Arkansas State vs Louisiana Prediction
Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 8:00 PM ET, Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium, Lafayette, Week 5
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYArkansas StateAGATHA'S PICK
HOMELouisiana
AWAYArkansas StatePREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
2023vs
Predicted --
HOMELouisiana71%WIN CHANCELIVE READLouisiana to WinWON#201 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Louisiana to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 71%
Final score: Louisiana 23, Arkansas State 20
- SEALED ODDS
- -191BetOnline
- CLOSING ODDS
- Same as sealedat the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +0.52uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 11:00 PM ETreceipt #201
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| Louisiana | 7 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 23 |
Leaders
- Lunch Winfield (UL): 18/21, 189 YDS
- JJ Garner (UL): 7 CAR, 78 YDS, 1 TD
- KeDarius Wade (UL): 1 REC, 36 YDS
- Trey Owens (ARST): 20/31, 206 YDS, 1 TD
- Solomon Baggett (ARST): 12 CAR, 51 YDS, 1 TD
- Chauncy Cobb (ARST): 8 REC, 65 YDS
Arkansas StateTale of the tape
LouisianaArkansas State vs Louisiana recent form
Arkansas State 3-2 Arkansas State: last 5 games
- W17-14 Sep 26 Kennesaw State, 17-14
- L7-31 Sep 19 TCU, 7-31
- W52-7 Sep 12 West Georgia, 52-7
- L24-42 Sep 5 Memphis, 24-42
- W34-28 Dec 18, 2025 Missouri State, 34-28
Louisiana 3-2 Louisiana: last 5 games
- W34-7 Sep 26 Charlotte, 34-7
- W21-14 Sep 19 UAB, 21-14
- L30-49 Sep 12 USC, 30-49
- W38-7 Sep 5 Lamar, 38-7
- L13-20 Dec 17, 2025 Delaware, 13-20
Points scored, last 5Arkansas State 134Louisiana 136
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterArkansas State 122Louisiana 97
Arkansas State vs Louisiana head-to-head
Since Nov 4, 2023: Louisiana 2, Arkansas State 1
- Nov 20, 2025Louisiana 34-30
- Nov 9, 2024Louisiana 55-19
- Nov 4, 2023Arkansas State 37-17
Arkansas State vs Louisiana line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Louisiana)
-4.5
Total
49.5
Moneyline
- Arkansas State
- +160
- Louisiana
- -204
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (22 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Louisiana) at FanDuel: opened -210, now -205
- Spread (Louisiana) at FanDuel: opened -5.5, now -4.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 51.5, now 49.5
Agatha's pick for Arkansas State vs Louisiana
Louisiana. Agatha gave Louisiana a 71% chance to win at Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium, Lafayette. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 3.
TV: ESPN+