Baylor vs Arizona State Prediction
Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 10:30 PM ET, Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, Week 5
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYBaylorAGATHA'S PICK
HOMEArizona State
AWAYBaylorPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
5519vs
Predicted --
HOMEArizona State66%WIN CHANCELIVE READArizona State to WinLOST#217 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Arizona State to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 66%
Final score: Baylor 55, Arizona State 19
- SEALED ODDS
- -160FanDuel
- CLOSING ODDS
- Same as sealedat the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 2:08 AM ETreceipt #217
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | 14 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 55 |
| Arizona State | 3 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 19 |
Leaders
- Cutter Boley (ASU): 25/43, 304 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Kyson Brown (ASU): 7 CAR, 34 YDS
- Reed Harris (ASU): 7 REC, 125 YDS
- DJ Lagway (BAY): 25/40, 306 YDS, 4 TD
- Ryelan Morris (BAY): 9 CAR, 84 YDS, 1 TD
- Gavin Freeman (BAY): 7 REC, 115 YDS
BaylorTale of the tape
Arizona StateBaylor vs Arizona State recent form
Baylor 3-2 Baylor: last 5 games
- W23-13 Sep 26 Colorado, 23-13
- W36-19 Sep 19 Louisiana Tech, 36-19
- W44-3 Sep 12 Prairie View A&M, 44-3
- L16-17 Sep 5 Auburn, 16-17
- L24-31 Nov 29, 2025 Houston, 24-31
Arizona State 2-3 Arizona State: last 5 games
- W24-17 Sep 19 Kansas, 24-17
- L20-48 Sep 12 Texas A&M, 20-48
- W70-7 Sep 5 Morgan State, 70-7
- L39-42 Dec 31, 2025 Duke, 39-42
- L7-23 Nov 28, 2025 Arizona, 7-23
Points scored, last 5Baylor 143Arizona State 160
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterBaylor 83Arizona State 137
Baylor vs Arizona State head-to-head
Since Sep 20, 2025: Arizona State 1, Baylor 0
- Sep 20, 2025Arizona State 27-24
Baylor vs Arizona State line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Arizona State)
-3
Total
49
Moneyline
- Baylor
- +138
- Arizona State
- -158
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (30 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Arizona State) at FanDuel: opened -184, now -160
- Spread (Arizona State) at FanDuel: opened -4.5, now -3.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 52.5, now 49.5
Agatha's pick for Baylor vs Arizona State
Arizona State. Agatha gave Arizona State a 66% chance to win at Mountain America Stadium, Tempe. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 3.
TV: ESPN