AgathaRecord
AGATHANo gut feelings
JOIN

Bowling Green vs Miami (OH) Prediction

Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 3:30 PM ET, Yager Stadium, Oxford, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Bowling GreenAWAYBowling Green

FINAL

2420

AGATHA'S PICKMiami (OH)HOMEMiami (OH)
86%WIN CHANCEMiami (OH) to WinLOST#149 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 86%

Agatha's pick: Miami (OH) to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Bowling Green 24, Miami (OH) 20

SEALED ODDS
-450BetMGM
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
6:46 PM ETreceipt #149

Game Center

Team1234T
Bowling Green01001424
Miami (OH)0631120

Leaders

  • Caleb Heavner (M-OH): 17/24, 198 YDS, 1 TD
  • Rodney Nelson (M-OH): 16 CAR, 70 YDS
  • Lynel Billups-Williams (M-OH): 4 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
  • Jay Kastantin (BGSU): 25/37, 305 YDS, 2 TD
  • Leo Kemp (BGSU): 3 CAR, 25 YDS, 1 TD
  • Brennan Ridley (BGSU): 9 REC, 95 YDS
Bowling Green

Tale of the tape

Miami (OH)

Bowling Green vs Miami (OH) recent form

Bowling Green 1-4 Bowling Green: last 5 games

  1. L6-14 Sep 26 South Florida, 6-14
  2. L7-55 Sep 19 Iowa State, 7-55
  3. L7-56 Sep 12 Nebraska, 7-56
  4. L13-20 Sep 5 Tarleton State, 13-20
  5. W45-14 Nov 25, 2025 Massachusetts, 45-14

Miami (OH) 2-3 Miami (OH): last 5 games

  1. W24-21 Sep 26 UConn, 24-21
  2. L31-35 Sep 19 Cincinnati, 31-35
  3. W45-7 Sep 12 Holy Cross, 45-7
  4. L14-59 Sep 5 Pittsburgh, 14-59
  5. L3-18 Dec 27, 2025 Fresno State, 3-18
Points scored, last 5Bowling Green 78Miami (OH) 117
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterBowling Green 159Miami (OH) 140

Bowling Green vs Miami (OH) head-to-head

Since Oct 7, 2023: Miami (OH) 2, Bowling Green 0

  1. Nov 29, 2024Miami (OH) 28-12
  2. Oct 7, 2023Miami (OH) 27-0

Bowling Green vs Miami (OH) line movement

MONEYLINE Miami (OH) to win at BetMGM

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Miami (OH))

-10.5

Total

42

Moneyline

Bowling Green
+370
Miami (OH)
-510

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (25 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Miami (OH)) at FanDuel: opened -850, now -450
  • Spread (Miami (OH)) at FanDuel: opened -14.5, now -10.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 46.5, now 41.5

Agatha's pick for Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)

Miami (OH). Agatha gave Miami (OH) an 86% chance to win at Yager Stadium, Oxford. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: ESPN+

Up next

  1. Fri, Nov 20, 7:30 PM ETBowling Green vs Toledo
  2. Tue, Nov 17, 7:00 PM ETMiami (OH) vs Kent StateAgatha's call: Miami (OH) to win, 75%
  3. LIVEBuffalo vs Ball StateAgatha's call: Buffalo to win, 69%
  4. LIVESacramento State vs Central MichiganAgatha's call: Central Michigan to win, 90%
  5. LIVEMassachusetts vs ToledoAgatha's call: Toledo to win, 93%