AGATHANo gut feelings

BYU vs TCU Prediction

Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 7:00 PM ET, Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKBYUAWAYBYU

FINAL

1710

TCUHOMETCU
68%WIN CHANCEBYU to WinWON#185 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 68%

Agatha's pick: BYU to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: BYU 17, TCU 10

SEALED ODDS
-200Betway
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.50uat the sealed price
GRADED
10:11 PM ETreceipt #185

Game Center

Team1234T
BYU073717
TCU070310

Leaders

  • Jaden Craig (TCU): 18/25, 187 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Jeremy Payne (TCU): 14 CAR, 77 YDS
  • Kari Ashley (TCU): 6 REC, 108 YDS, 1 TD
  • Bear Bachmeier (BYU): 11/24, 62 YDS
  • Bear Bachmeier (BYU): 15 CAR, 66 YDS, 2 TD
  • Kyler Kasper (BYU): 2 REC, 22 YDS
BYU

Tale of the tape

TCU

BYU vs TCU recent form

BYU 4-1 BYU: last 5 games

  1. W41-23 Sep 19 Colorado State, 41-23
  2. W28-17 Sep 12 Arizona, 28-17
  3. W63-7 Sep 5 Utah Tech, 63-7
  4. W25-21 Dec 27, 2025 Georgia Tech, 25-21
  5. L7-34 Dec 6, 2025 Texas Tech, 7-34

TCU 3-2 TCU: last 5 games

  1. L13-21 Sep 26 UCF, 13-21
  2. W31-7 Sep 19 Arkansas State, 31-7
  3. W63-7 Sep 12 Grambling, 63-7
  4. L10-15 Aug 29 North Carolina, 10-15
  5. W30-27 Dec 30, 2025 USC, 30-27
Points scored, last 5BYU 164TCU 147
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterBYU 102TCU 77

BYU vs TCU head-to-head

Since Oct 14, 2023: BYU 1, TCU 1

  1. Nov 15, 2025BYU 44-13
  2. Oct 14, 2023TCU 44-11

BYU vs TCU line movement

MONEYLINE BYU to win at Betway

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (TCU)

+5

Total

49

Moneyline

BYU
-213
TCU
+178

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (31 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (TCU) at FanDuel: opened +255, now +176
  • Spread (TCU) at FanDuel: opened +7.5, now +5.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 50.5, now 48.5

Agatha's pick for BYU vs TCU

BYU. Agatha gave BYU a 68% chance to win at Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: ESPN, Disney+

Up next

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  2. Sat, Nov 14, 2:00 PM ETKansas State vs TCUAgatha's call: TCU to win, 81%
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