AGATHANo gut feelings

Central Michigan vs Ohio Prediction

Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET, Peden Stadium, Athens, Week 6

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Central MichiganAWAYCentral Michigan3-2

FINAL

1431

AGATHA'S PICKOhioHOMEOhio3-2
74%WIN CHANCEOhio to WinWON#689 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 74%

Agatha's pick: Ohio to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Ohio 31, Central Michigan 14

SEALED ODDS
-130Betway
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.77uat the sealed price
GRADED
6:40 PM ETreceipt #689

Game Center

Team1234T
Central Michigan007714
Ohio14170031

Leaders

  • Nick Poulos (OHIO): 11/18, 158 YDS, 3 TD
  • Duncan Brune (OHIO): 16 CAR, 91 YDS, 1 TD
  • Riley Neer (OHIO): 4 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
  • Angel Flores (CMU): 14/20, 112 YDS
  • Nick Woodford (CMU): 3 CAR, 27 YDS, 1 TD
  • Braylen Naves (CMU): 4 REC, 56 YDS
Central Michigan

Tale of the tape

Ohio

This season

Points per gameWHYCentral Michigan 17.6Ohio 26.8
Points against per gamefewer is betterCentral Michigan 25.4Ohio 26.8

Central Michigan vs Ohio recent form

Central Michigan 3-2 Central Michigan: last 5 games

  1. W41-17 Oct 3 Akron, 41-17
  2. L3-52 Sep 26 Miami, 3-52
  3. W24-10 Sep 19 Wyoming, 24-10
  4. W13-10 Sep 12 Colgate, 13-10
  5. L7-38 Sep 5 New Mexico, 7-38

Ohio 3-2 Ohio: last 5 games

  1. W13-10 Oct 3 Kent State, 13-10
  2. W35-7 Sep 26 Stonehill, 35-7
  3. L36-41 Sep 19 South Alabama, 36-41
  4. W29-27 Sep 12 Jacksonville State, 29-27
  5. L21-49 Sep 5 Nebraska, 21-49
Points scored, last 5Central Michigan 88Ohio 134
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterCentral Michigan 127Ohio 134

Central Michigan vs Ohio head-to-head

WHY

Since Nov 15, 2023: Ohio 2, Central Michigan 0

  1. Oct 12, 2024Ohio 27-25
  2. Nov 15, 2023Ohio 34-20

Central Michigan vs Ohio line movement

MONEYLINE Ohio to win at Betway

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Ohio)

-2.5

Total

46

Moneyline

Central Michigan
+112
Ohio
-139

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (18 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Ohio) at FanDuel: opened -172, now -134
  • Spread (Ohio) at FanDuel: opened -3.5, now -2.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 46.5, now 44.5

Agatha's pick for Central Michigan vs Ohio

Ohio. Agatha gave Ohio a 74% chance to win at Peden Stadium, Athens. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 10.

Why Agatha picked Ohio

Ohio won both meetings since Nov 15, 2023, the latest 27-25 on the road on Oct 12, 2024. Ohio won 13-10 at Kent State on Oct 3. Ohio scored more points per game than Central Michigan this season, 26.8 to 17.6. Agatha predicts a 30-19 Ohio win, about a 3-in-4 chance. The risk: Central Michigan beat Akron 41-17 at home on Oct 3.

TV: ESPN+

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