California vs UNLV Prediction
Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 3:30 PM ET, Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Week 5
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYCaliforniaAGATHA'S PICK
HOMEUNLV
AWAYCaliforniaPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
3139vs
Predicted --
HOMEUNLV82%WIN CHANCELIVE READUNLV to WinWON#146 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: UNLV to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 82%
Final score: UNLV 39, California 31
- SEALED ODDS
- -110Betway
- CLOSING ODDS
- Same as sealedat the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +0.91uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 7:42 PM ETreceipt #146
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California | 7 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 31 |
| UNLV | 7 | 17 | 0 | 15 | 39 |
Leaders
- Jackson Arnold (UNLV): 11/22, 177 YDS, 3 TD
- Jackson Arnold (UNLV): 15 CAR, 110 YDS, 2 TD
- Kayden McGee (UNLV): 3 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD
- Jackson Brousseau (CAL): 19/32, 200 YDS, 2 TD
- Ashten Emory (CAL): 12 CAR, 48 YDS, 1 TD
- Taimane Purcell (CAL): 3 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
Tale of the tape
UNLVCalifornia vs UNLV recent form
California 2-3 California: last 5 games
- L10-24 Sep 25 Clemson, 10-24
- W49-7 Sep 19 Wagner, 49-7
- W21-18 Sep 12 Syracuse, 21-18
- L24-45 Sep 5 UCLA, 24-45
- L31-35 Dec 24, 2025 Hawai'i, 31-35
UNLV 2-3 UNLV: last 5 games
- W38-10 Sep 26 Akron, 38-10
- L6-44 Sep 12 North Texas, 6-44
- W21-6 Sep 5 Hawai'i, 21-6
- L21-27 Aug 29 Memphis, 21-27
- L10-17 Dec 23, 2025 Ohio, 10-17
Points scored, last 5California 135UNLV 96
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterCalifornia 129UNLV 104
California vs UNLV head-to-head
Since Dec 18, 2024: UNLV 1, California 0
- Dec 18, 2024
UNLV 24-13Art of Sport LA Bowl
California vs UNLV line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (UNLV)
+0.5
Total
52.5
Moneyline
- California
- -111
- UNLV
- -112
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (25 snapshots)
- Moneyline (UNLV) at FanDuel: opened -104, now -111
- Spread (UNLV) at FanDuel: opened +1.5, now -1.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 54.5, now 52.5
Agatha's pick for California vs UNLV
UNLV. Agatha gave UNLV an 82% chance to win at Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 3.
TV: CBSSN