Florida vs Missouri Prediction
Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 3:50 PM ET, Memorial Stadium, Columbia, Week 5
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYFloridaAGATHA'S PICK
HOMEMissouri
AWAYFloridaPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
1745vs
Predicted --
HOMEMissouri54%WIN CHANCELIVE READMissouri to WinWON#155 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Missouri to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 54%
Final score: Missouri 45, Florida 17
- SEALED ODDS
- +190BetUS
- CLOSING ODDS
- Same as sealedat the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +1.90uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 7:07 PM ETreceipt #155
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
| Missouri | 3 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 45 |
Leaders
- Austin Simmons (MIZ): 23/30, 340 YDS, 2 TD
- Jamal Roberts (MIZ): 24 CAR, 211 YDS, 3 TD
- Cayden Lee (MIZ): 8 REC, 110 YDS
- Aaron Philo (FLA): 21/34, 197 YDS, 1 TD
- London Montgomery (FLA): 1 CAR, 17 YDS
- Dallas Wilson (FLA): 4 REC, 66 YDS, 1 TD
Tale of the tape
MissouriFlorida vs Missouri recent form
Florida 5-0 Florida: last 5 games
- W52-28 Sep 26 Ole Miss, 52-28
- W44-39 Sep 19 Auburn, 44-39
- W52-3 Sep 12 Campbell, 52-3
- W66-21 Sep 5 Florida Atlantic, 66-21
- W40-21 Nov 29, 2025 Florida State, 40-21
Missouri 3-2 Missouri: last 5 games
- L24-31 Sep 26 Mississippi State, 24-31
- W27-17 Sep 19 Troy, 27-17
- W38-21 Sep 11 Kansas, 38-21
- W54-14 Sep 3 Arkansas-Pine Bluff, 54-14
- L7-13 Dec 27, 2025 Virginia, 7-13
Points scored, last 5Florida 254Missouri 150
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterFlorida 112Missouri 96
Florida vs Missouri head-to-head
Since Nov 18, 2023: Missouri 1, Florida 0
- Nov 18, 2023
Missouri 33-31
Florida vs Missouri line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Missouri)
+5.5
Total
57.5
Moneyline
- Florida
- -225
- Missouri
- +184
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (44 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Missouri) at FanDuel: opened +122, now +184
- Spread (Missouri) at FanDuel: opened +2.5, now +5.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 52.5, now 57.5
Agatha's pick for Florida vs Missouri
Missouri. Agatha gave Missouri a 54% chance to win at Memorial Stadium, Columbia. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
TV: ABC