AGATHANo gut feelings

Florida vs Missouri Prediction

Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 3:50 PM ET, Memorial Stadium, Columbia, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

FloridaAWAYFlorida

FINAL

1745

AGATHA'S PICKMissouriHOMEMissouri
54%WIN CHANCEMissouri to WinWON#155 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 54%

Agatha's pick: Missouri to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Missouri 45, Florida 17

SEALED ODDS
+190BetUS
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +1.90uat the sealed price
GRADED
7:07 PM ETreceipt #155

Game Center

Team1234T
Florida370717
Missouri317101545

Leaders

  • Austin Simmons (MIZ): 23/30, 340 YDS, 2 TD
  • Jamal Roberts (MIZ): 24 CAR, 211 YDS, 3 TD
  • Cayden Lee (MIZ): 8 REC, 110 YDS
  • Aaron Philo (FLA): 21/34, 197 YDS, 1 TD
  • London Montgomery (FLA): 1 CAR, 17 YDS
  • Dallas Wilson (FLA): 4 REC, 66 YDS, 1 TD
Florida

Tale of the tape

Missouri

Florida vs Missouri recent form

Florida 5-0 Florida: last 5 games

  1. W52-28 Sep 26 Ole Miss, 52-28
  2. W44-39 Sep 19 Auburn, 44-39
  3. W52-3 Sep 12 Campbell, 52-3
  4. W66-21 Sep 5 Florida Atlantic, 66-21
  5. W40-21 Nov 29, 2025 Florida State, 40-21

Missouri 3-2 Missouri: last 5 games

  1. L24-31 Sep 26 Mississippi State, 24-31
  2. W27-17 Sep 19 Troy, 27-17
  3. W38-21 Sep 11 Kansas, 38-21
  4. W54-14 Sep 3 Arkansas-Pine Bluff, 54-14
  5. L7-13 Dec 27, 2025 Virginia, 7-13
Points scored, last 5Florida 254Missouri 150
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterFlorida 112Missouri 96

Florida vs Missouri head-to-head

Since Nov 18, 2023: Missouri 1, Florida 0

  1. Nov 18, 2023Missouri 33-31

Florida vs Missouri line movement

MONEYLINE Missouri to win at BetUS

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Missouri)

+5.5

Total

57.5

Moneyline

Florida
-225
Missouri
+184

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (44 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Missouri) at FanDuel: opened +122, now +184
  • Spread (Missouri) at FanDuel: opened +2.5, now +5.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 52.5, now 57.5

Agatha's pick for Florida vs Missouri

Missouri. Agatha gave Missouri a 54% chance to win at Memorial Stadium, Columbia. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: ABC

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