Houston vs Kansas State Prediction
Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET, Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, Week 6
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AWAYHouston4-1PREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
Predicted --
HOMEKansas StateWin chance at the seal 62%
Final score: Houston 35, Kansas State 16
- SEALED ODDS
- -130FanDuel
- CLOSING ODDS
- -132FanDuel, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 6:57 PM ETreceipt #686
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 35 |
| Kansas State | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
Leaders
- Avery Johnson (KSU): 16/30, 182 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Rodney Fields Jr. (KSU): 14 CAR, 46 YDS
- Garrett Oakley (KSU): 3 REC, 49 YDS, 1 TD
- Conner Weigman (HOU): 19/30, 242 YDS, 4 TD
- Re'Shaun Sanford II (HOU): 20 CAR, 90 YDS
- Patrick Overmyer (HOU): 8 REC, 83 YDS, 4 TD
HoustonTale of the tape
Kansas StateHouston vs Kansas State recent form
WHYHouston 4-1 Houston: last 5 games
- W27-17 Oct 3 UCF, 27-17
- W42-28 Sep 26 Georgia Southern, 42-28
- L26-28 Sep 18 Texas Tech, 26-28
- W77-6 Sep 12 Southern, 77-6
- W33-20 Sep 5 Oregon State, 33-20
Kansas State 4-1 Kansas State: last 5 games
- L26-31 Sep 26 Cincinnati, 26-31
- W31-20 Sep 19 Tulane, 31-20
- W34-7 Sep 12 Washington State, 34-7
- W71-3 Sep 5 Nicholls, 71-3
- W24-14 Nov 29, 2025 Colorado, 24-14
Houston vs Kansas State head-to-head
WHYSince Oct 28, 2023: Houston 1, Kansas State 1
- Nov 2, 2024Houston 24-19
- Oct 28, 2023Kansas State 41-0
Houston vs Kansas State line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Kansas State)
-2.5
Total
55
Moneyline
- Houston
- +114
- Kansas State
- -139
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (23 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Kansas State) at FanDuel: opened -110, now -132
- Spread (Kansas State) at FanDuel: opened -1.5, now -2.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 51.5, now 55.5
Agatha's pick for Houston vs Kansas State
Kansas State. Agatha gave Kansas State a 62% chance to win at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 10.
Why Agatha picked Kansas State
Kansas State's defense decides this one: it allows 15.3 points a game, and Houston allows 19.8. The game is at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, where Kansas State went 3-0 at home this season while Houston went 1-1 on the road. Kansas State beat Tulane 31-20 at home on Sep 19, and it last played on Sep 26 and has had 13 days off since. Agatha's prediction is a 30-23 Kansas State win, close to a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is Houston, which won the latest meeting 24-19 at home on Nov 2, 2024, and has won two games in a row.
TV: Fox