Louisville vs NC State Prediction
Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 3:30 PM ET, Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, Week 5
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYLouisvilleAGATHA'S PICK
HOMENC State
AWAYLouisvillePREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
2831vs
Predicted --
HOMENC State53%WIN CHANCELIVE READLouisville to WinLOST#152 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Louisville to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 53%
Final score: NC State 31, Louisville 28
- SEALED ODDS
- -167bet365
- CLOSING ODDS
- -210bet365, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 7:06 PM ETreceipt #152
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 0 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 28 |
| NC State | 3 | 10 | 15 | 3 | 31 |
Leaders
- CJ Bailey (NCSU): 24/40, 373 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Davion Gause (NCSU): 21 CAR, 69 YDS
- Joshisa Trader (NCSU): 5 REC, 92 YDS
- Lincoln Kienholz (LOU): 21/30, 254 YDS, 2 TD
- Isaac Brown (LOU): 9 CAR, 125 YDS, 1 TD
- Tre Richardson (LOU): 8 REC, 117 YDS, 1 TD
LouisvilleTale of the tape
NC StateLouisville vs NC State recent form
Louisville 3-2 Louisville: last 5 games
- L27-30 Sep 26 Wake Forest, 27-30
- W41-31 Sep 19 SMU, 41-31
- W59-13 Sep 11 Villanova, 59-13
- L38-41 Sep 6 Ole Miss, 38-41
- W27-22 Dec 23, 2025 Toledo, 27-22
NC State 3-2 NC State: last 5 games
- W41-31 Sep 26 App State, 41-31
- L31-35 Sep 19 Vanderbilt, 31-35
- W73-0 Sep 11 Richmond, 73-0
- L8-34 Aug 29 Virginia, 8-34
- W31-7 Dec 19, 2025 Memphis, 31-7
Points scored, last 5Louisville 192NC State 184
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterLouisville 137NC State 107
Louisville vs NC State head-to-head
Since Sep 29, 2023: Louisville 1, NC State 0
- Sep 29, 2023Louisville 13-10
Louisville vs NC State line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (NC State)
+5
Total
56.5
Moneyline
- Louisville
- -210
- NC State
- +175
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (33 snapshots)
- Moneyline (NC State) at FanDuel: opened +188, now +176
- Spread (NC State) at FanDuel: opened +6.5, now +5.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 58.5, now 57.5
Agatha's pick for Louisville vs NC State
Louisville. Agatha gave Louisville a 53% chance to win at Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
TV: ACC Network