LSU vs Kentucky Prediction
Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 7:00 PM ET, Kroger Field, Lexington, Week 6
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AWAYLSU4-1PREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
Predicted --
HOMEKentucky4-1Win chance at the seal 54%
Final score: Kentucky 35, LSU 34
- SEALED ODDS
- -330Betway
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 11:01 PM ETreceipt #724
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 10 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 34 |
| Kentucky | 7 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 35 |
Leaders
- Kenny Minchey (UK): 23/36, 246 YDS
- CJ Baxter (UK): 19 CAR, 123 YDS, 2 TD
- Kenny Darby (UK): 4 REC, 79 YDS
- Sam Leavitt (LSU): 25/34, 275 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Dilin Jones (LSU): 16 CAR, 56 YDS
- Dilin Jones (LSU): 7 REC, 84 YDS
LSUTale of the tape
KentuckyThis season
LSU vs Kentucky recent form
WHYLSU 4-1 LSU: last 5 games
- W63-14 Oct 3 McNeese, 63-14
- W35-6 Sep 26 Texas A&M, 35-6
- L24-32 Sep 19 Ole Miss, 24-32
- W45-14 Sep 12 Louisiana Tech, 45-14
- W51-10 Sep 5 Clemson, 51-10
Kentucky 4-1 Kentucky: last 5 games
- W35-34 Oct 3 South Carolina, 35-34
- W45-21 Sep 26 South Alabama, 45-21
- W31-21 Sep 19 Texas A&M, 31-21
- L17-45 Sep 12 Alabama, 17-45
- W45-13 Sep 5 Youngstown State, 45-13
LSU vs Kentucky line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Kentucky)
+8.5
Total
50.5
Moneyline
- LSU
- -385
- Kentucky
- +275
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (40 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Kentucky) at FanDuel: opened +285, now +275
- Spread (Kentucky) at FanDuel: opened +10.5, now +9.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 52.5, now 50.5
LSU vs Kentucky betting trends
Trends describe the past. They are not predictions and carry no edge - Agatha's pick is made independently.
Records against the line most North American sportsbooks closed at: win-loss against the spread, over-under on the total, a push third.
Agatha's pick for LSU vs Kentucky
LSU. Agatha gave LSU a 54% chance to win at Kroger Field, Lexington. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
Why Agatha picked LSU
LSU beat McNeese 63-14 at home on Oct 3. LSU has won two games in a row. LSU scored more points per game than Kentucky this season, 43.6 to 34.6. LSU went 4-1 this season and Kentucky went 4-1. LSU scores 43.6 points a game and allows 15.2 this season. Agatha has LSU winning 28-23, slightly better than even. The risk: Kentucky won 35-34 at South Carolina on Oct 3.
TV: ESPN