Michigan State vs Wisconsin Prediction
Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 12:30 PM ET, Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, Week 5
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYMichigan StateAGATHA'S PICK
HOMEWisconsin
AWAYMichigan StatePREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
0331vs
Predicted --
HOMEWisconsin76%WIN CHANCELIVE READWisconsin to WinWON#133 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Wisconsin to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 76%
Final score: Wisconsin 31, Michigan State 3
- SEALED ODDS
- -330Betway
- CLOSING ODDS
- -350Betway, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +0.30uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 3:33 PM ETreceipt #133
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Wisconsin | 14 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
Leaders
- Colton Joseph (WIS): 9/20, 145 YDS, 3 TD
- Colton Joseph (WIS): 13 CAR, 141 YDS, 1 TD
- Malachi Coleman (WIS): 1 REC, 46 YDS, 1 TD
- Alessio Milivojevic (MSU): 15/32, 103 YDS
- Jaziun Patterson (MSU): 18 CAR, 62 YDS
- Jayden Savoury (MSU): 4 REC, 26 YDS
Michigan StateTale of the tape
WisconsinMichigan State vs Wisconsin recent form
Michigan State 3-2 Michigan State: last 5 games
- L13-31 Sep 26 Nebraska, 13-31
- L10-27 Sep 19 Notre Dame, 10-27
- W35-7 Sep 12 Eastern Michigan, 35-7
- W30-20 Sep 4 Toledo, 30-20
- W38-28 Nov 29, 2025 Maryland, 38-28
Wisconsin 3-2 Wisconsin: last 5 games
- W24-20 Sep 26 Penn State, 24-20
- W54-10 Sep 19 Eastern Michigan, 54-10
- W36-9 Sep 12 Western Illinois, 36-9
- L13-41 Sep 6 Notre Dame, 13-41
- L7-17 Nov 29, 2025 Minnesota, 7-17
Points scored, last 5Michigan State 126Wisconsin 134
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterMichigan State 113Wisconsin 97
Michigan State vs Wisconsin line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Wisconsin)
-8.5
Total
43.5
Moneyline
- Michigan State
- +275
- Wisconsin
- -350
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (23 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Wisconsin) at FanDuel: opened -345, now -350
- Spread (Wisconsin) at FanDuel: opened -9.5, now -8.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 45.5, now 43.5
Agatha's pick for Michigan State vs Wisconsin
Wisconsin. Agatha gave Wisconsin a 76% chance to win at Camp Randall Stadium, Madison. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
TV: BTN